TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb226…4163

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
381
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst F1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT13672.1%98 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.36
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.69
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$110.37
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.17
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.49
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.73
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.35
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$9.47
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.45
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$18.85
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.3
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$6.51
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.18
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.89
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$16.78
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.69
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.01
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$6.04
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7368.5%50 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$38.54
Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.07
Will Rodri win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$20.38
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Bronze Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will Jude Bellingham win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.19
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.52
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.41
Will Lionel Messi win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.33
Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+55%+$12.91
Will Argentina win the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$53.42
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$55.06
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Argentina leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.7
Argentina to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$22.67
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.74
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$5.56
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$5.59
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.7
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.91
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.2
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$6.69
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Will France finish 4th place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.25
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.97
Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.59
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$78.06
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$50.94
Will Cardiff City FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$45.78
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56.38
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$100.74
Will Lincoln City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.8
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.04
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$85.14
Will Norwich City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.57
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$15.76
Will Stoke City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.82
Will Bristol City FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$58.77
Will Bolton Wanderers FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$16.13
All 17 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1681.3%13 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick73cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$44.4
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$65.12
Will Real Salt Lake vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.42
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$68.6
Will CF Montréal vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.29
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$114
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$9.06
Will Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.86
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.46
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.38
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$4.11
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$16.67
Will Philadelphia Union vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+27%+$6.07
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$18.03
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$19.9
All 16 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Puebla vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$33.6
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$55.16
Will CA Huracán vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.17
Will Tigres de la UANL vs. Atlante FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$22.28
Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.18
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.36
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.36
Will CA Rosario Central vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.07
Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.79
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.65
Will Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.48
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.06
Will FC Juárez vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.98
Will Mirassol FC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$34.25
Will Cruz Azul win Liga MX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.47
Will NSÍ Runavík win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.1
HNK Rijeka vs. Derry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$14
Will FC Twente '65 vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+29%+$3.56
Will FC Zimbru Chişinău win on 2026-07-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.46
Will FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.07
FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.84
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv vs. FC Universitatea Cluj end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.96
Will NSÍ Runavík vs. Ħamrun Spartans FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
Will Pyunik FA win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Will Elimai FK win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.71
Will FK Mornar Bar win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.15
Will FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.11
Will FC Déifferdeng 03 win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.13
FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.77
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$13.23
Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.53
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.79
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.38
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$74.65
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.29
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$17.79
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$30.02
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.37
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.88
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.18
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.38
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$3.9
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+98%+$31.21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$8.97
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$7.56
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$17.09
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.87
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$9.65
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$5.76
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$3.45
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 20–25%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$70.38
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 5–10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$10.66
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$75.23
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.14
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$16.78
Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.42
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
Will Adam Hamawy be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.74
Will James Kingston be the Republican nominee for GA-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$16.91
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.09
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.75
Will FK Sutjeska Nikšić vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.83
Will FC Petrocub Hînceşti win on 2026-07-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$19.7
Will FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.31
FK ML Viciebsk vs. Universitatea Craiova CS: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Qairat FK vs. FK Sutjeska Nikšić: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Will Harry Kane record the most Player of the Match awards during the 2025 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.94
All 8 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$9.11
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+52%+$10.96
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.82
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.11
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$27.7
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+184.7%+$101.33
Will Anthropic announce permanent paid plan access for Fable 5 by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.68
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
All 8 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-58.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-52%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-46.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$43.34
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$7.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$9.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.