Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Elimai FK win on 2026-07-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e77f9e63033dad18d51a5c7fca1a926a79dbee3e695b8eeacde4e92dba337bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 25c | 1,750$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.38 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 1,653$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.17 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 1,456$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 26c | 1,250$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.84 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 813.75$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.63 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 67c | 733.51$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.99 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 72c | 600$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…a60cbacked Yes | 27c | 499.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Yes | 71c | 205$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 73c | 177.36$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…7ad0backed No | 35c | 116$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 73c | 116$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 77c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 79c | 54.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 142 | 41.5%59 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 72c | 44.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Yes | 28c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 73c | 21.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elimai FK win on 2026-07-09?this page
- Will Alashkert FA vs. Elimai FK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Alashkert FA win on 2026-07-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.