Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Alashkert FA win on 2026-07-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbafe1e836018ee71d3f9eb626477b52c00661c84e776beccb8406cadba99b59c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,001$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd095…8b08backed Yes | 48c | 830.64$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 56c | 540.49$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.24 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 16c | 400$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 391.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.15 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 76c | 349.34$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 29c | 319.66$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 247.18$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.69 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 52c | 150.61$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 47c | 106.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 280 | 12.9%36 W · 244 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 58c | 94.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 37c | 91.53$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 45c | 86.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed No | 55c | 78.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 46c | 63.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 34c | 55.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Yes | 47c | 47.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 54c | 45.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 55c | 45.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 42.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 48c | 41.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 66c | 30.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 53c | 30.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…5162backed No | 63c | 29.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +135.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Yes | 46c | 27.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alashkert FA win on 2026-07-09?this page
- Will Alashkert FA vs. Elimai FK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Elimai FK win on 2026-07-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.