South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39c4c934ba7c8f0d705575ae9e3d0d3031c5d4c6b268cd99bcfb8a7313d436e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 3,191$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.65 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 72c | 1,467$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.2 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 78c | 999.99$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 735.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 22c | 693$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 22c | 568.31$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 508.85$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.25 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…fd5dbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 28c | 475.67$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 77c | 457.79$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.29 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 14c | 396.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.12 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 77c | 384.57$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 76c | 189.22$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…7f2abacked Yes | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Yes | 9c | 166.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed No | 78c | 154$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 78c | 137.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 78c | 127.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 17c | 127.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 11c | 116.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 19c | 110.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 102.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 22c | 96.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed No | 79c | 91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 23c | 76.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 31c | 72.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 19c | 63.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 23c | 56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 22c | 54.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 21c | 50.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 77c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 76c | 37.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 33.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 78c | 32.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 78c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…cee8backed No | 79c | 27.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 73c | 25.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4163backed No | 79c | 20.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 79c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…47eabacked No | 77c | 13.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.