TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,523 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b62…5cc8backed No50c35,630$17,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,809.464768.1%32 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes51c13,304$6,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,724.8849136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes46c9,092$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,140.312,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes52c6,250$3,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,22534747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes49c4,478$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,194.221,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes50c4,312$2,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.775358.5%31 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No49c3,416$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.021,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No50c1,760$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.621,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes39c1,332$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.055,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes49c1,018$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.8431039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes47c927.93$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.0975240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No60c726.02$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.298,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No55c708.67$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.1735240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes49c686.01$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.153,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes52c588.97$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6666837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes50c583.67$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.9718050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaae5…7974backed No54c511.4$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.241631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9661…36f6backed Yes44c508$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.521838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Yes49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2456550.8%33 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes36c455.1$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5637540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No49c416.33$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.332556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…362ebacked No50c306.27$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.931330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes49c283$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6745253.1%240 W · 212 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes12c260.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0149535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes50c204$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No77c178.06$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2836339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Yes51c178$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.783938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed No50c169.06$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.873452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes56c162.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6248547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7855946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes31c147.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4625635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No49c141.93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.389454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes51c132.66$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6627855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes38c129.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.45129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea88…261abacked Yes39c123.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.330%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes49c122.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.228930.3%27 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes50c114$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.512,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…01e5backed Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes32c111.12$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.812740.9%52 W · 75 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes54c107.91$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3512737.8%48 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No64c105$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.81643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Yes27c104.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.291457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+68%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9550643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4618359%108 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed No50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3524535.5%87 W · 158 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No72c97.6$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.789632.3%31 W · 65 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Yes53c97$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.417445.9%34 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed Yes52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed No71c96.01$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.55532.7%18 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf762…d55fbacked No67c86.27$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.722544%11 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes51c84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.843636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No39c77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9730847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes51c74.51$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3819543.1%84 W · 111 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes22c74.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.656526.2%17 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9735…db39backed Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.242946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc0c…47eabacked Yes46c58.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.34875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+25.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No53c58$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2632139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes46c57.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.528347%39 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked No46c54$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.161376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick51cpaid+67.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked No74c53.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.883167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Yes44c51.92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.962948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes49c49.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Yes52c49.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8914149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes49c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.521,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes51c46.49$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes46c43.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0916864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd02d…cab5backed Yes46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No49c39.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1623253%123 W · 109 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No60c38.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4960156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes45c34.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.344252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc97…7172backed Yes31c34.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82030%6 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0428…7d12backed Yes46c34.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No61c34.05$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2741262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No47c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0251945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfca9…7b25backed Yes39c32.59$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf054…e912backed Yes51c31.37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Yes40c29.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes46c27.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7529047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.781,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9250…e090backed Yes52c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes39c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.141,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b18…efaebacked No59c25.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.562560%15 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce37…5bcdbacked Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105028%14 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f1b…6399backed Yes44c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No49c24.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.499446.8%44 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0419953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Yes51c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.242528%7 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Yes44c22.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No59c21.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8472058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No47c21.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.342,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5837…8cdebacked Yes53c21.39$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.344148.8%20 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked No49c21.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.881947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No58c21.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9195155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.