TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x698f…ae41

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
264
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT6841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.42
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$231.26
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$278.15
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$233.7
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.04
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$651.58
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$308.57
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,024.73
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$183
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$189.81
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$607.38
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.65
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,388Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$1,125.5
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$276.91
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,826Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+66%+$1,205.44
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.26
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.53
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+203%+$178.22
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+203%+$669.99
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$397Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$397.39
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$972.66
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,519Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,519.41
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$416.75
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$409.05
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$889.42
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$69.88
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$187.77
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$121.78
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+159.6%+$604.92
Will Pachuca beat Al Hilal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
Will LAFC beat Esperance Sportive?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$287.52
Will Chelsea beat Flamengo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+76.3%+$432.86
Will PSG beat Botafogo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$800.08
Will Atlético Madrid beat Seattle Sounders?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will FC Porto beat Inter Miami?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$403.18
Will Inter Miami beat FC Porto?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$389.24
Will LAFC beat Chelsea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.94
Will Inter win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,796Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,796
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$135.32
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.92
Will Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.6
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.6
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$288.79
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$326
All 25 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+82.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$94.63
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+28.3%+$24.06
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$451Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$276.68
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$146.59
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$882Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$378.03
Falcons vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+100.2%+$773.39
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$354.31
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+100%+$401.6
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,146Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$491.34
Colts vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.88
Eagles vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.76
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+81.3%+$853.96
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.67
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$296.12
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$464Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$463.61
Patriots vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$822.33
Broncos vs. Eaglesbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+1,900%+$950
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$560.2
Texans vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.96
Dolphins vs. Panthersbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$802.14
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$535.46
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+160.4%+$662.15
49ers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.28
All 24 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.31
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barriosbacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$72.33
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$938Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+44.1%+$413.5
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$9,340Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+50.2%+$4,684.91
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$233.28
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$809Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$808.79
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+1,011.1%+$910
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$581.8
Cardinals vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$11.94
Royals vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.31
Dodgers vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.64
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$396.03
Mets vs. Dodgersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+150%+$239.95
Rockies vs. Cubsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$386.54
Dodgers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$633.02
Rockies vs. Cubsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$235
Dodgers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$198
Dodgers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.96
Rockies vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$56.26
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$363.72
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Boston Red Sox vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.21
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$133.2
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT2222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+439.4%+$798.91
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.45
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.94
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$621.87
Will Michigan State win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.6
Michigan State vs. Auburnbacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.35
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.25
Michigan vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+52.2%+$257.73
Kentucky vs. Tennesseebacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.04
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$901Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$900.81
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$553.5
BYU vs. Alabamabacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.81
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.09
New Mexico vs. Michigan Statebacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$460
St. Mary's vs. Alabamabacked St. Mary's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Illinois vs. Kentuckybacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
UCLA vs. Tennesseebacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$350.03
McNeese State vs. Purduebacked McNeese State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.92
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$103.89
Xavier vs. Texasbacked Xavier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$110
All 22 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+68%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$150.33
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$38.74
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$71.06
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+153.7%+$67.64
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.38
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.33
Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$116.28
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.67
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+300%+$81
All 14 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$107.93
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.02
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$159.07
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$175
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+71%+$67.15
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.81
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$15.72
ITF M15 Mistelbach Men: Attila Dominik Boros vs Benedikt Szerencsitsbacked Attila Dominik Boros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Camilla Zanolini vs Sophia Biolaybacked Camilla Zanolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$8.42
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Ru Xi Wu vs Maiko Uchijimabacked Ru Xi Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Hsieh/Ostapenko vs Klepac/Lumsdenbacked Hsieh/Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.74
ITF M15 Asuncion 2 Men: Corey Craig vs Santiago De la Fuentebacked Santiago De la Fuente · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$12.06
ITF W50 Prague Women: Laura Mair vs Yelyzaveta Kotliarbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.97
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+53.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$17.24
Indiana Fever vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$697Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$697.47
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$143.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oscars Bingobacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG beat Nice?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$192
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.