TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mets vs. Dodgers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metsof Mets, Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$276,603
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,101

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $276,603 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mets41c24,100$9,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,202.3336047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Dodgers59c23,456$13,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,839.0317351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad1…6d88backed Dodgers46c14,100$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4801631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-49.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers29c12,737$3,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,656.082,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcca0…f349backed Mets38c9,998$3,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,198.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd99c…1006backed Dodgers62c9,996$6,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,197.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Mets50c9,734$4,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,843.2169249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Dodgers56c7,922$4,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,404.671338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers26c7,153$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,857.789,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Dodgers36c6,739$2,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.5730928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Dodgers58c6,438$3,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,733.8460249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Dodgers48c6,172$2,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,944.8216151.6%83 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Dodgers45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2509862.2%61 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb1d…13e3backed Dodgers59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.992334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Mets41c4,973$2,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,917.883943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Dodgers34c4,688$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.4197950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Dodgers44c4,075$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8063850%19 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Dodgers60c4,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.971,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Dodgers56c3,572$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.2220523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets40c3,025$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,815.161,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets40c2,945$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.161,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Mets43c2,460$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.8541643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ce…13eebacked Mets75c2,122$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.976538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Dodgers36c2,006$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.7340547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9718…fa5dbacked Dodgers60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2002744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Mets39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.9649250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Mets41c1,991$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.77450%37 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dfc…b032backed Mets40c1,989$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.362958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67b5…9f1ebacked Mets68c1,965$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.874250%21 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Mets44c1,959$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.21,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Dodgers45c1,913$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.0215851.9%82 W · 76 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7703…34b9backed Mets72c1,739$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.319550.5%48 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mets54c1,669$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.611,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Dodgers60c1,668$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.7532852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Dodgers41c1,530$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.145248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Dodgers45c1,378$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.66556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Mets42c1,269$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.0529240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa26a…6d6ebacked Mets59c1,124$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.691752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Mets39c1,095$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.1298149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Dodgers60c1,083$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Mets39c1,003$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.9876456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Dodgers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Mets71c1,000$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29514966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Mets39c980.97$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.7415949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers34c861.78$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.61,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Dodgers60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Dodgers52c819.23$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4261,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a0…1b3dbacked Dodgers68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002941.4%12 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Mets41c703.73$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.817946.8%37 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Mets58c660.94$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.9525835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0563…340dbacked Mets71c642.93$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.34977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick61cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4403…c953backed Mets55c631.71$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.29785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Mets74c630.89$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8917866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Mets41c609.76$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.7626847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Mets55c609.09$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0939160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9938…c7e8backed Mets55c598.03$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2410858.3%63 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Dodgers58c586.68$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.3915944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Mets38c585.26$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.865,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf59…ff38backed Mets39c561.54$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.54771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+58.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e6f…0142backed Dodgers61c554.21$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.0712549.6%62 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf2d…673fbacked Mets74c553.16$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x843d…3526backed Mets40c525.78$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.47850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c5b…ecd4backed Mets40c516.55$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Dodgers19c505.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5312624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Dodgers55c500$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27613555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Mets40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdae…941abacked Mets41c495.07$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mets41c492.68$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.6839436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8307…1cadbacked Dodgers43c492.56$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2108167.9%55 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdc1…d442backed Mets41c482.15$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.47837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b80…d267backed Mets41c481.34$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mets40c467.33$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.7731145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers59c464.25$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.912,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Dodgers56c459.64$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9465549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mets39c450.04$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.5288549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc4…c59abacked Mets41c448.54$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers48c443.21$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.7430842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x357c…1ea1backed Mets41c433.29$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.64560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e0…6f02backed Mets41c432.46$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.15862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12d…d764backed Mets74c412.36$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.093351.5%17 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Mets40c399.92$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.952441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Dodgers16c388$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.852488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Dodgers53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x265d…5329backed Mets74c360.12$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.127659.2%45 W · 31 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ee…084abacked Dodgers61c347.15$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Dodgers59c343.32$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4271751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x381e…16e2backed Dodgers61c337.66$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe155…c022backed Dodgers61c333.02$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.14425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers61c328.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f38…ac6dbacked Dodgers60c327.4$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.44812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-70.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2cc2…7ddebacked Dodgers60c325.85$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9030…1eebbacked Dodgers60c321.22$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.73520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Dodgers27c317.96$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.033333.3%11 W · 22 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Dodgers40c315.49$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5168656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x111f…bce5backed Dodgers61c309.74$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.94520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6011…a80abacked Mets40c306.25$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Dodgers48c303$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.447544%33 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbc…a87dbacked Dodgers61c302.79$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-66.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.