TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b0b…f9d6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
430
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT8547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.99
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+203%+$123.28
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.5
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$194
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+195.7%+$136.6
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+476.9%+$248
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$159
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$114
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$297
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Over 202.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.5
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.32
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$115
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$102
Kenny's Young Stars vs. Chuck's Global Starsbacked Kenny's Young Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$160.2
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$510
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+185.7%+$650
Heat vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$847Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+150%+$1,269.79
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$733.6
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$499
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+233.3%+$875
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$316.16
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT8234.1%28 W · 54 L-10.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NFL — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lions (-5.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.03
Commanders vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.6
Cowboys vs. Jetsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$240.84
Vikings vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.6
49ers vs. Rams: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.5
Bengals vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Jets vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+110.5%+$105
Spread: Packers (-6.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$89
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$126
Colts vs. Ramsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: Patriots (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Spread: Falcons (-2.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Spread: Vikings (-2.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Seahawks vs. Cardinals: O/U 43.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
DET vs. BAL: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+108.7%+$128.13
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$78.32
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.4
Steelers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Spread: ATL (-4.5)backed ATL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.71
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST7544%33 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$41.5
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$160
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$134
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$212
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$204
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$66
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$81
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+118.3%+$135.5
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Reds vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$72
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$58.96
Reds vs. Brewersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$61
Rangers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$58
Tigers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
Rays vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Mets vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$57
Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT6451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Florida Statebacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$76
Kansas vs. UCFbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
South Alabama vs. Troybacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.77
Spread: Alabama (-10.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Texas vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$96
Oregon State vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$47
Washington vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Boise State vs. Notre Dame: O/U 62.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.5
Iowa State vs. Cincinnatibacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.5
O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$54
Spread: Georgia (-20.5)backed Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: Pittsburgh (-6.5)backed Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$48
New Mexico vs. San Jose Statebacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$132
Western Kentucky vs. Delaware Blue Hensbacked Western Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$84
Oregon vs. Penn Statebacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+166.7%+$125
Alabama vs. Georgiabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$82.5
Kentucky vs. South Carolinabacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Iowa State (-5.5)backed Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$54
LSU vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Spread: Texas A&M (-6.5)backed Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
Spread: Northwestern (-6.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
Spread: Ohio State (-8.5)backed Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Arkansas State vs. UL Monroebacked UL Monroe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Eastern Michigan vs. Central Michiganbacked Eastern Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT3240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22.44
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Rountree Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
Emmett vs. Zalalbacked Emmett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Magomedov vs. Pyferbacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Dvalishvili vs. O'Malleybacked O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$87
Gastelum vs. Pyferbacked Pyfer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
Bautista vs. Mixbacked Mix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.4
Luque vs. Hollandbacked Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.79
Gamrot vs. Kleinbacked Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$62
Jacoby vs. Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$117
Filho vs. Nascimentobacked Nascimento · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+92.9%+$115.11
Muhammad vs. Della Maddalenabacked Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$97.5
Shevchenko vs. Fiorotbacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$123.2
de Ridder vs. Nickalbacked Nickal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$152
Ponzinibbio vs. Rodriguezbacked Ponzinibbio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$118
Jackson vs. Marcosbacked Jackson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Smotherman vs. Sideybacked Sidey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Cannonier vs. Rodriguesbacked Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,721.25
Bonfim vs. Williamsbacked Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$350
Vieira vs. Petroskibacked Vieira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$244.73
Hill vs. Souzabacked Souza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$648.81
Du Plessis vs. Stricklandbacked Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$247.5
Weili vs. Suarezbacked Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+139.1%+$283.32
Tafa vs. Teixeirabacked Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Nolan vs. Borshchevbacked Borshchev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$153
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$135
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.99
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+108.5%+$214.36
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.76
Golden Knights vs. Oilersbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$96
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Golden Knights vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$147
Senators vs. Predatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+122.2%+$220
Canadiens vs. Ducksbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$147
Red Wings vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$338.8
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$225
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+117.4%+$161.99
Predators vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+112.8%+$159
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$299.99
Wild vs. Canadiensbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2025, EST+127.3%+$392
Capitals vs. Flamesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+75.4%+$172
Jets vs. Canadiensbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$152
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$220.5
Canucks vs. Bluesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST+132.6%+$313.5
Avalanche vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$217.12
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Penguins vs. Krakenbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Avalanche vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+132.6%+$136.1
Canucks vs. Oilersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$148
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Will Rangers win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Plzen win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.91
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Celtic win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$57
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Will FC Porto win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will Manchester United beat Rangers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$176.4
Will Fenerbahce beat Lyon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$184
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+58.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$275
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$510
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$180
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+100%+$175
French Open: Musetti vs. Tiafoebacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$19.74
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Qinwenbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+37%+$19.98
French Open: Popyrin vs. Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$54.39
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST+40.8%+$145
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+49.3%+$33
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+72%+$146.5
Will Trump say "mandate" 3+ times during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$128.24
Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$32.9
Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$231
Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+25%+$30
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$215
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wright State vs. Green Baybacked Green Bay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+69.5%+$65.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times November 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$358.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$970
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$318
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel military response against Iran in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$64.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-09-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.