TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Predators

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Senatorsof Senators, Predators
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,847
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,847 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Predators54c13,382$7,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,185.9235545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Senators46c12,239$5,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6133865.8%25 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Senators45c10,376$4,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,706.9623642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Predators55c8,857$4,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,871.299459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Predators29c3,821$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.21,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2fd…b3cebacked Senators47c3,501$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.411947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Predators19c3,401$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.6532331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Predators2c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Predators46c1,941$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.283,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Senators64c1,825$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.9623761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Predators53c1,824$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.711,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Predators55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Predators54c1,282$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.4992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Senators47c1,063$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.3734845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Predators31c1,058$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.811,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98fd…b575backed Predators53c1,054$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.441442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Senators46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Senators37c874.24$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.283141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Senators71c808.77$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.263148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Predators52c719.98$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.3913756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Senators44c632.03$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.9429847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Senators46c545$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.375155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Predators52c505$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.6872444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Predators52c499.96$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9897651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2873…fc1cbacked Predators21c464.16$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.02520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-67.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6b…47e9backed Predators55c450$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-68.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf98e…40a5backed Senators45c450$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Senators45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4413457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Predators55c438.15$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.987361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Senators45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Predators55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208537.6%32 W · 53 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2105…64adbacked Senators48c343.75$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.754252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Senators45c299.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16581846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Predators52c299.47$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8584051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Predators52c291.4$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8449351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Senators45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6715456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Senators45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6712859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…da21backed Predators53c218.87$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2626…38c1backed Senators48c218.75$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bee…e2f5backed Senators48c216.67$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6dc…1934backed Senators48c216.67$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4912…dd06backed Predators53c216.42$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa953…d305backed Senators48c215.51$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb066…520bbacked Predators54c214.81$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeacb…8204backed Senators48c214.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x323b…1e1fbacked Senators48c214.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e9e…c721backed Senators48c214.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44f…12ffbacked Senators48c214.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d5…8495backed Senators48c214.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb866…452ebacked Predators54c214.44$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d8…a7c8backed Predators53c214.15$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60f3…7a42backed Predators53c213.96$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf896…1ee3backed Predators54c213.89$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac5c…601dbacked Predators54c213.84$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbde…60ddbacked Senators48c213.8$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b0…e40ebacked Senators48c213.4$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db6…3900backed Predators54c213.33$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf96…f37fbacked Predators54c213.15$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3346…250fbacked Senators49c212.69$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa2e…30c9backed Senators48c212.5$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeea…b444backed Predators53c212.26$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a52…12f9backed Predators53c212.08$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea27…9b92backed Senators49c211.9$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb12a…efdcbacked Predators54c211.52$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Senators49c202.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8222246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Senators49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10211951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb426…2634backed Predators53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22d…4712backed Predators53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc0…58b6backed Predators53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1319…8880backed Predators54c186.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb9…46e6backed Predators54c186.11$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Senators67c180$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.917054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7524…2149backed Predators56c179.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.524245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Senators72c167.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3215470.1%108 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Senators45c165.25$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4228842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Predators51c164.71$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8421048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Senators57c157.53$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5345954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x950d…d965backed Senators45c152.44$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.822152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Predators56c149.54$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.748445.2%38 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x850f…0e16backed Predators54c146.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6440%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52fd…481fbacked Senators45c145.25$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf88…c68dbacked Senators45c145.2$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.861136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Senators48c144.68$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6828542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee9d…63e1backed Senators71c143.72$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.689554.7%52 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Predators54c142.87$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.461,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1668…ebebbacked Senators45c141.98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.091968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c02…c1a7backed Predators53c138.93$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+50.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa933…f420backed Senators49c137.02$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…1282backed Senators45c135.85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.721729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-35.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf112…6bdabacked Senators45c133.29$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.311747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf735…74a7backed Senators49c132.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Senators47c123.49$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4510744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae29…2730backed Predators56c122.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.811650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39e6…84ffbacked Predators56c121.41$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.991353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ab…fc79backed Predators56c121.36$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.962458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1398…9329backed Senators45c120.36$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c7a…34ebbacked Predators56c118.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.632356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5980…a3e6backed Senators45c118.6$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.232846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8d…9901backed Senators49c117.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.