TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9716…378a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
939
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT50852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 508 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$106.2
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$19,626Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8,410.97
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22,609Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+83.5%+$18,866.96
Brewers vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$897.48
Athletics vs. Nationalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,337Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,336.84
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,223Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+96.4%+$6,960.34
Rays vs. Angelsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+93.6%+$973.92
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,233Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,233.29
Yankees vs. Rangersbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,722Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$1,466.48
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$447.8
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$53,030Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$53,030.18
Giants vs. Piratesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,734Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+73%+$1,265.91
Orioles vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$9,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,082.05
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23,553Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+90.9%+$21,405.11
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$520.41
Rays vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,898Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,898.44
Blue Jays vs. Rockiesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,689Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$1,265.33
Yankees vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$166
Brewers vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,038Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,038.48
Athletics vs. Nationalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+126.3%+$567.33
Guardians vs. Metsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,603Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+144.2%+$3,752.5
Royals vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34,377Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$17,100.31
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.24
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,346Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,345.71
Giants vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$148.48
Showing 25 of 508 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2025, EDT19149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 191 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Hornetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$276.47
Pacers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,104.89
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,252.35
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,564Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+66.1%+$1,033.91
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$324.34
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,843Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+62.4%+$1,774.13
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,693Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+46.6%+$1,255.45
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,703Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+79.5%+$1,354.23
Pelicans vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$51.65
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$2,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,098.02
Magic vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,389Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+87.3%+$1,212.56
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$152.84
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$57
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$328.63
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$507
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,870Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+34.6%+$1,683.66
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$659.99
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$462.69
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$242.08
Celtics vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$3,775Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+203%+$7,664.13
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$959Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$372.83
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$48.62
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$317Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$316.72
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,769Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$1,131
Showing 25 of 191 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT7361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,971Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+72.8%+$4,344.81
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10,208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+135.4%+$13,823.38
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,832Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$3,988.2
Oilers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$8,824Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,823.98
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,961.34
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,348.08
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$157.87
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,637Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+103.8%+$2,736.88
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,100.59
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$741.82
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,322.78
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,272Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$2,561.66
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$709.03
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,212Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$1,606.6
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13,818Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+85.5%+$11,810.23
Golden Knights vs. Wildbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,485.2
Stars vs. Avalanchebacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$272
Senators vs. Maple Leafsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,304.84
Devils vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$20.1
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$373.52
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+82.3%+$1,103.64
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$4,023Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$2,166.02
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,313Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$3,937.5
Stars vs. Predatorsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,347.63
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$489.77
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT4934.7%17 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Park vs. Tairabacked Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$794Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$279.14
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Souzabacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$160
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGheebacked McGhee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$3,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,380.36
UFC Fight Night: Almabayev vs. Ochoabacked Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$6,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,039.32
UFC Fight Night: Grant vs. Blackshearbacked Grant · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$438.25
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Riccibacked Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,211Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$1,975.18
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,930Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$1,644.09
UFC 318: Costa vs. Kopylovbacked Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$68
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$230.97
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Garciabacked Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+86.5%+$340.97
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$2,207.25
Pena vs. Harrisonbacked Pena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,879Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,879.01
Park vs. Hernandezbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$299.88
Rodriguez vs. Robertsonbacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.2
Alexander Volkanovski vs. Diego Lopesbacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,544.99
Jim Miller vs. Chase Hooperbacked Miller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,300
Darren Elkins vs. Julian Erosabacked Elkins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,146.73
Tresean Gore vs. Marco Tuliobacked Gore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,096.06
Allen vs. Hernandezbacked Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$4,668Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$4,667.83
Cejudo vs. Songbacked Cejudo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$2,048.44
Silva vs. Baghdasaryanbacked Baghdasaryan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$4,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$4,237.1
Du Plessis vs. Stricklandbacked Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$6,733Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$6,732.95
Pantoja vs. Asakurabacked Asakura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$212.61
Rakhmonov vs. Garrybacked Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$1,126.85
Gane vs. Volkovbacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$196.28
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT3762.2%23 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs Valkyriesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,800Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$1,871.57
Fever vs Sparksbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$567.52
Sun vs Mercurybacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$221.96
Wings vs Libertybacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,778.16
Valkyries vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+37%+$37.64
Mystics vs Dreambacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$557
Sparks vs Stormbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$816Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$1,514.5
Fever vs Wingsbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$93.4
Valkyries vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.88
Mercury vs Dreambacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$463.25
Dream vs Wingsbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$57
Aces vs Sparksbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,757Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+77.3%+$3,678.92
Dream vs Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,226.28
Mercury vs Mysticsbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,324Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+38.6%+$896.9
Aces vs Wingsbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$4,621Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$1,367.61
Fever vs Skybacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,672Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$1,502.68
Storm vs Mysticsbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,587.83
Wings vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$786Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$524.26
Mercury vs Libertybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,593Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+46.8%+$745.19
Aces vs Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+26.1%+$89.4
Storm vs Skybacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,259Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$1,929.3
Aces vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,552Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+118%+$4,190.28
Dream vs Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$682.01
Dream vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,668Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+51.7%+$2,931.95
Wings vs Stormbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+308%+$1,029.28
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST3243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$187.42
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$127.01
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+35%+$480.99
Will Aaron Rodgers win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$235.64
Will Kirk Cousins win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22.89
Chargers vs. Cardinalsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,969Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$7,969.06
Bills vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$508.8
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$390.71
Will the Cowboys beat the Giants by 6 or more points?backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,247Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$2,158.53
Titans vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,711Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2024, EDT+127.3%+$2,178.01
Eagles vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$3,968Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+222.6%+$8,832
Will the Dolphins win by 3 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$84.4
Will the Browns win by 3 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT+100%+$125
Will the Dolphins win by 4 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,000
Jalen Hurts Anytime Touchdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2024, EDT+112.8%+$282.91
Will Lamar Jackson run for a TD?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,434Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$1,433.74
Will there be 47 or more combined points scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$260.5
Coin Toss: Heads or Tails?backed Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2024, EDT+100%+$500
Seahawks vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$12.16
Chargers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,050Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$2,950
Colts vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$763.57
Panthers vs. Jetsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$133.51
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$53.45
Ravens vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,300
Rams vs. Cowboysbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,650Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2024, EDT+203%+$3,350
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston vs. Dukebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$6,011Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+239.1%+$14,372.62
Florida vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,423Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,423.15
Tennessee vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$460.89
Alabama vs. Dukebacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.22
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15,821Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,821.42
Kentucky vs. Tennesseebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,771Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$1,492.19
Ole Miss vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$274.17
Arizona vs. Dukebacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$379.62
Maryland vs. Floridabacked Maryland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
BYU vs. Alabamabacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,943.78
New Mexico vs. Michigan Statebacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$405.36
Ole Miss vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$655Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$654.56
Elon vs. Armybacked Army · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$73.14
Drake vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,580Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$906.45
Liberty vs. Oregonbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$195
Xavier vs. Illinoisbacked Xavier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$553.35
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.2
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Baylor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$52
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2025, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP Toronto – Khachanov vs. Ruudbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,618Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+80.6%+$1,303.61
ATP Toronto – Fils vs. Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,515Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+67%+$5,035.34
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon Men's?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$3,520
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon Men's?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,381Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$4,227.89
Wimbledon 2024: Medvedev vs. Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,951Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2024, EDT+37%+$2,201.23
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$139.97
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2024, EDT+142.9%+$338.13
Will another player win the 2024 French Open Women's Singles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$539.7
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2024 French Open Women's Singles?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2024, EDT-100%-$533.44
Will Casper Ruud win the 2024 French Open Men's Singles?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$259.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2024, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick46cpaid-53.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur beat Leicester City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2024, EDT+163.2%+$226.9
Will Manchester City win vs Chelsea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$188.69
Will Newcastle United beat Southampton?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$31.58
Will Liverpool beat Ipswich Town?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$86.42
Will the U.S. win Gold in Women's Football (Soccer)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2024, EDT-100%-$70.3
Will Spain win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$87.18
Will France win Gold in Men's Football (Soccer)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,386Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2024, EDT+56.2%+$3,029.69
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$3,199.98
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$440
All 9 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 11, 2024, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2024, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oleksandr Usyk beat Tyson Fury in Ring of Fire?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$2,255.62
Will Ring of Fire have no official winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$206
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Africa vs. Bangladesh - Cricket T20 World Cupbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$661Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2024, EDT+37%+$244.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kendrick drops another track by midnight?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2024, EDT+25%+$81.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Is $DJT real?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$140.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.