WNBA · resolved market
Wings vs Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x051989a70b68341d03e421b8e151bf425b8c9b3f83fadb159ed173ecbd86aa3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valkyriesof Wings, Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Valkyries | 51c | 3,303$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wings | 40c | 3,100$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Valkyries | 47c | 2,745$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.58 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Wings | 44c | 2,714$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Valkyries | 54c | 2,711$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Valkyries | 61c | 2,405$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.22 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Wings | 65c | 2,269$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.85 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Valkyries | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Valkyries | 42c | 1,588$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.4 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wings | 44c | 1,470$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.95 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Valkyries | 60c | 1,367$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.34 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Wings | 37c | 1,357$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.96 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Valkyries | 60c | 1,311$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.26 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Valkyries | 63c | 1,113$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.25 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Wings | 27c | 990$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.3 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Wings | 47c | 797.44$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.1 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Wings | 39c | 750$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Valkyries | 62c | 714.16$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.38 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Valkyries | 62c | 711.51$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.54 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Valkyries | 60c | 656.85$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.74 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wings | 59c | 611$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.42 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wings | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wings | 40c | 496.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Wings | 50c | 463.64$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…3032backed Valkyries | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Valkyries | 56c | 354.26$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.46 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Wings | 41c | 316.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Valkyries | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Wings | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Valkyries | 59c | 280.37$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Wings | 38c | 265.45$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wings | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wings | 40c | 247.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Valkyries | 62c | 243.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Valkyries | 62c | 242.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Valkyries | 45c | 211$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wings | 38c | 200.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Wings | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Wings | 9c | 182.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Valkyries | 71c | 142.09$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Wings | 40c | 138.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Wings | 39c | 105.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Valkyries | 63c | 103.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385a…08d1backed Valkyries | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Valkyries | 46c | 99.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Wings | 40c | 94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wings | 41c | 90.42$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4542…cba2backed Wings | 50c | 89.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Valkyries | 61c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Valkyries | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Valkyries | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Valkyries | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Valkyries | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Wings | 34c | 40.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Valkyries | 63c | 32.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142c…1098backed Wings | 77c | 28.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Wings | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Valkyries | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.