TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d55…7cba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
281
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 72 out of 100 (+0.20 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 72 out of 100; worst Weather at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT7149.3%35 W · 36 L+19.3wins+0.27per pick22cpaid+92.7%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.44
Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.99
Georgia College & State Bobcats vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+1,246.4%+$318.69
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Southern Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+258.7%+$50.13
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. Southern Indiana Screaming Eaglesbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.02
Howard Bison vs. Coppin State Eaglesbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+222.9%+$238.06
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Arizona State Sun Devilsbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$59.49
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Northern Illinois Huskiesbacked Northern Illinois Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.57
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilsbacked Texas Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Indiana State Sycamores vs. UIC Flames (W)backed Indiana State Sycamores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$12.93
High Point Panthers vs. Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogsbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+50.9%+$13.85
Furman Paladins vs. VMI Keydetsbacked Furman Paladins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.21
Clemson Tigers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.1%+$20.3
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Austin Peay Governorsbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48.95
Towson Tigers vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies (W)backed North Carolina A&T Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.17
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+400%+$480
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Rice Owlsbacked Rice Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$60
USC Upstate Spartans vs. Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogsbacked USC Upstate Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$276.96
High Point Panthers vs. Radford Highlandersbacked Radford Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bellarmine Knights vs. North Florida Ospreysbacked North Florida Ospreys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+233.3%+$210
East Carolina Pirates vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$302
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+400%+$69.42
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+233.1%+$220.73
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saintsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$226
Albany Great Danes vs. Maine Black Bearsbacked Maine Black Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$26.6
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST634.8%3 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-58.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Bulls vs. Pelicansbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21.99
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Kings vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$22.37
Grizzlies vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Wizards vs. Bullsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Trail Blazers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$27.53
Thunder vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Timberwolves vs. Sunsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24.43
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Nets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25.26
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Rockets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT432.3%1 W · 42 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick13cpaid-93.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
WNBA — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shakira Austin: Assists O/U 2.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
Team Spoon vs. Team Coopbacked Team Coop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Team Spoon vs. Team Coop: O/U 279.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
PortlandFire vs. Connecticut Sunbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)backed Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.66
Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by Mar. 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+169.9%+$229.12
Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.27
Storm vs. Acesbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.8
Liberty vs. Dreambacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Valkyries vs Acesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Wings vs Valkyriesbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.11
Mercury vs Libertybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Aces vs Lynxbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Storm vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Aces vs Feverbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Sparks vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Dream vs Acesbacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Fever vs Libertybacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Sky vs Lynxbacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Storm vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Mercury vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Valkyries vs Wingsbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.83
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+127.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will "Voicemails for Isabelle" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Will "Backrooms" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+3,521.8%+$754.32
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will anyone say "Robot" or "Bot" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.26
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.97
Will "Kai Harada" win Best Sound Design of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+433.4%+$260
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+402.5%+$178.27
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+174.2%+$47.15
Will Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) be nominated for Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+445.3%+$49.13
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$13.29
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$25.76
Will 'Lilo & Stich' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.97
Will 'Black Bag' gross more than 7m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT+115.2%+$18.25
Will 'Novocaine' gross between 9-11m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.75
Will 'Novocaine' gross more than 11m on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will 'Last Breath' gross more than 9m on its opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$13.5
All 25 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT230%0 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
Weather — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NYC Air Quality Index below 100 by July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.11
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 23 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
World Cup Finals: Coin Toss Resultbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.16
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.18
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
France vs. Morocco: France 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.43
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.43
Portugal vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Austria FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.43
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-73.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+3,174.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochibacked Shanghai Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+9,724.4%+$9,756.72
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+576.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will D.K. Metcalf be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+1,053.8%+$1,335.92
Will Kyler Murray be traded?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$16.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Fight" during UFC 250?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2026 New York 8th District Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukrainelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.