Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe95a43f40b0ce8e11f53aa569d4963c24beee47feac20640e011d0b1239e39ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 74c | 675.79$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 20c | 600.03$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0d06backed No | 67c | 586.56$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.92 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 49c | 483.58$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.15 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 60c | 321.57$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…d951backed No | 47c | 294.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 69c | 291.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 20c | 232.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 43c | 217.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…862ebacked No | 38c | 196.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.23 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -10.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 7c | 176.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 18c | 172.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 40c | 163$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 60c | 158.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 33c | 151.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 20c | 149.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Yes | 38c | 148.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 144.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 27c | 111.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 42c | 102.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 51c | 102.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6bd…2c9dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 213 | 40.8%87 W · 126 L | +23.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…53adbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 72c | 93.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…a606backed No | 68c | 91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 39c | 90.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 59c | 86.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 14c | 81.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 46c | 80.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed No | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 44c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 27c | 73.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.37 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed No | 49c | 72.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 78c | 70.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed Yes | 25c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 71c | 67.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…6ff7backed No | 80c | 65.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…bb31backed No | 66c | 64.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 162 | 72.2%117 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 25c | 62.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 32c | 62.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Yes | 79c | 61.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed Yes | 60c | 58.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 76c | 54.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 25c | 53.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked Yes | 45c | 52.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 39c | 51.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…de7dbacked Yes | 45c | 48.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…7410backed Yes | 71c | 47.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 24c | 46.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…2c6fbacked Yes | 25c | 46.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…ee2ebacked Yes | 32c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 222 | 32%71 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…64b6backed Yes | 44c | 44.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked Yes | 74c | 42.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…e283backed No | 37c | 41.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 1,282 | 56.7%727 W · 555 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…6a56backed Yes | 49c | 40.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…7a5dbacked Yes | 69c | 39.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 36.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 50c | 36.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3580…714ebacked No | 59c | 36.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd526…3d7cbacked No | 56c | 33.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 60c | 33.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…8d64backed Yes | 46c | 31.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a1…a26bbacked No | 70c | 31.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 73c | 31.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…dd86backed No | 37c | 30.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 39c | 30.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 42c | 30.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 64c | 26.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…62cebacked No | 59c | 26.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…cf4abacked Yes | 42c | 26.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c84…593ebacked Yes | 49c | 26.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66c…7c32backed Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b72…ec52backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +79%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 24.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…b706backed Yes | 50c | 23.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…6e3ebacked No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 52c | 21.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 1,108 | 30%332 W · 776 L | -38.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 77c | 21.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5728…d2b2backed Yes | 73c | 20.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…8f14backed No | 58c | 20.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…4226backed Yes | 65c | 18.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked No | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 186 | 71%132 W · 54 L | +19.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…8239backed Yes | 68c | 16.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 71c | 14.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.