WNBA · resolved market
Liberty vs. Dream
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54f04751ab779aa1cff1c0f97918909f4ea1efbbf9d8bde62053f6944176cceb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dreamof Liberty, Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Liberty | 34c | 3,559$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.57 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Dream | 71c | 3,300$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Liberty | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Dream | 69c | 2,730$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.73 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Dream | 67c | 1,823$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.84 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Liberty | 29c | 1,592$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.63 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dream | 69c | 1,298$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.47 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Liberty | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dream | 71c | 940$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.17 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Liberty | 33c | 813.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.85 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Dream | 62c | 750$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd3…212bbacked Liberty | 14c | 545.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Liberty | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Liberty | 39c | 484.54$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.84 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Liberty | 29c | 444.31$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.85 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…85f4backed Dream | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 56cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Liberty | 33c | 350$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Dream | 62c | 327.45$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.77 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Liberty | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Dream | 68c | 305.91$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.32 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Dream | 80c | 285.53$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dream | 61c | 277.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.5 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Liberty | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Liberty | 36c | 200.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Liberty | 36c | 200$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Liberty | 36c | 199.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Dream | 61c | 191.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Liberty | 32c | 186$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Liberty | 31c | 159.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Dream | 60c | 129.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.74 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Liberty | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Dream | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344a…0599backed Dream | 74c | 80.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Liberty | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Liberty | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dream | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Liberty | 38c | 33.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dream | 62c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Liberty | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…db4ebacked Dream | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e4…e7efbacked Dream | 62c | 25.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…b328backed Dream | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.