TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf267…0a4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
337
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: College Football, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 62 out of 100; worst Serie A at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT13052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Marinersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$812
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$308
White Sox vs. Nationalsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$798
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$315
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$266
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$371
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$126.8
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$266
Rockies vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$245
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$364
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$357
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,023Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+163.9%+$1,677
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,090Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+95.7%+$2,001.19
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$392
Phillies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,504Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+135.4%+$6,096.41
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$371
Blue Jays vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$427
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$364
Athletics vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$315
Angels vs. Rockiesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$371
Mariners vs. Astrosbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$632Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+106%+$670.53
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$343
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$238
Padres vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$441
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$340.59
Commanders vs. Falconsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$322
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$392
Seahawks vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$315
Spread: KC (-4.5)backed NYG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$301
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$98
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$281.79
Jets vs. Buccaneersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$182
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.5
Raiders vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+70.5%+$868
Spread: PHI (-3.5)backed LA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$350
Steelers vs. Patriotsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+94.1%+$25.13
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+146.9%+$416.5
Falcons vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$606.64
Eagles vs. Chiefsbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$171.5
Rams vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Spread: 49ers (-3.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+135.3%+$402.5
Commanders vs. Packersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$48
Spread: Vikings (-1.5)backed Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
Lions vs. Packers: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Cardinals vs. Saints: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+145.1%+$148
Cardinals vs. Saintsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.4
Will Romania win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+163.6%+$900
Will England win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+100%+$175
Will Cyprus win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$73.5
Will Armenia win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$266
Will Australia win on 2025-09-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$366.63
Will New Zealand vs. Australia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Sweden win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+133.1%+$174.74
Will Italy win on 2025-09-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Switzerland win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Will Scotland win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.5
Will Denmark win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Will Greece win on 2025-09-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+68.4%+$101.5
Will Germany win on 2025-09-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.26
Will Slovakia win on 2025-09-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$121
Will Spain win on 2025-09-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.73
Will North Macedonia win on 2025-09-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Netherlands win on 2025-09-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will Georgia win on 2025-09-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
Will Hungary win on 2025-09-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.38
Will Serbia win on 2025-09-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Croatia win on 2025-09-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Scotland win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will France win on 2025-09-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+40.1%+$42.9
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+40.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
College Football — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Southern Miss (-3.5)backed Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$371
Spread: Air Force (-6.5)backed Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$336
O/U 64.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$264.14
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$630
Illinois vs. Indianabacked Illinois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$196
Purdue vs. Notre Damebacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
North Carolina State vs. Dukebacked North Carolina State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$280
UAB vs. Tennesseebacked UAB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Texas Tech vs. Utah: O/U 57.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$371
SMU vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$231
UNLV vs. Miami (OH)backed UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$336
Iowa vs. Rutgersbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$329
Florida Atlantic vs. Florida Internationalbacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$164.5
Boston College vs. Stanfordbacked Stanford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+525%+$294
Duke vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$175
Arkansas vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$133
South Florida vs. Miamibacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Iowa State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Virginia Tech vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
Appalachian State vs. Charlottebacked Charlotte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Nebraska vs. Cincinnatibacked Nebraska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$84
Wyoming vs. Akronbacked Wyoming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$534Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+68.5%+$366
Boise State vs. South Floridabacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+240.6%+$247.23
Fresno State vs. Kansas: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$54
All 24 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs. Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$915
Fever vs. Acesbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$347
Mercury vs. Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$504
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$301
Mercury vs. Libertybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$427
Aces vs. Stormbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$234.5
Mercury vs. Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$248.5
Valkyries vs. Lynxbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.5
Liberty vs. Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Sky vs. Acesbacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.5
Lynx vs. Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+141.5%+$498
Mystics vs. Libertybacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Lynx vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Liberty vs. Stormbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$44.74
Liberty vs. Valkyriesbacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.5
Fever vs. Mercurybacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Dream vs. Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.09
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+120.4%+$300.5
Storm vs. Lynxbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$79
Storm vs. Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$64
Aces vs. Mysticsbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$55
Liberty vs. Dreambacked Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$114.5
Lynx vs Feverbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+50.9%+$165.64
Lynx vs Dreambacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.32
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$238
Will Newcastle win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$196
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$574Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$574
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$658
Will Manchester United win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will Wolves win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$919Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+52.3%+$480.67
Will West Ham vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$483Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$217
Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$434
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.6
Will Brentford vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$255.5
Will Everton win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.43
Will Arsenal win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+66.8%+$124.1
Will Fulham win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will Fulham win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.85
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 21 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-09-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$287
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-09-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$392
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$74.52
Will Como win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$896
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$882Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$518
Will Torino win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$182
Will AS Roma win on 2025-09-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$889Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$889
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$924Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$924
Will Verona win on 2025-09-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Will US Cremonese win on 2025-09-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$129.5
Will Verona vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+240%+$600
Will AC Milan win on 2025-09-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$161
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.5
Will Juventus win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-09-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$322
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$187.83
Will FC Porto win on 2025-09-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$322
Will Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$266
Will Celtic win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$22.3
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-09-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will FCSB win on 2025-08-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$38
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-08-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
Will Panathinaikos win on 2025-08-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-08-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Will SC Braga win on 2025-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Aberdeen vs. FCSB end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+203%+$67
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$623
Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+115.5%+$455.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$140
Will Espanyol win on 2025-09-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$385
Will Levante UD vs. Real Betis end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$241.5
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-09-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.13
Will Sevilla vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$180
Will Celta Vigo vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$36.79
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Will Real Betis win on 2025-08-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-08-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$79
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 30, 2025, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.24
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$446.67
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$266
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.14
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$7
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-09-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,299Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+34.8%+$451.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.5
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$185.5
Will Glasgow Rangers win on 2025-08-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Pafos FC win on 2025-08-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$28
Will FK Crvena Zvezda win on 2025-08-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+98%+$49.5
Will Bodo/Glimt win on 2025-08-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$36
All 12 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+66.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+50.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.