MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86c5d12f91ef2a06fa2b3f4822151829c78de140d25b30e7d14868f557e32e13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metsof Nationals, Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,031,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,043,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,031,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 34c | 711,172$241,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241,236.32 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 67c | 236,700$158,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,738.58 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Mets | 66c | 104,750$69,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,615 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 66c | 100,000$66,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mets | 67c | 75,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Nationals | 33c | 60,000$20,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,062.07 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mets | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 56c | 28,074$15,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,339.74 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets | 67c | 26,512$17,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,748.94 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Nationals | 33c | 25,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.95 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Mets | 66c | 23,000$15,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,820 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 67c | 20,725$13,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,818.52 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Mets | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 66c | 19,597$12,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,662.98 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Nationals | 33c | 18,724$6,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,148.54 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mets | 66c | 17,986$11,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,115.22 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Nationals | 56c | 15,335$8,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,587.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Nationals | 34c | 13,261$4,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,508.74 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mets | 66c | 12,182$8,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.84 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mets | 66c | 11,555$7,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.7 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Mets | 66c | 11,110$7,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.4 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Nationals | 33c | 10,894$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 66c | 10,424$6,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510.36 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mets | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 66c | 9,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 67c | 7,914$5,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,638.19 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Nationals | 34c | 7,111$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.43 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Nationals | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.95 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…cd2bbacked Mets | 66c | 6,061$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…5c7dbacked Nationals | 35c | 5,008$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,752.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Mets | 60c | 4,647$2,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.39 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 65c | 4,174$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Mets | 65c | 2,710$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mets | 67c | 2,432$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.55 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mets | 66c | 1,910$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.4 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 33c | 1,780$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.79 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0e…1461backed Mets | 67c | 1,700$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mets | 73c | 1,651$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.53 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Nationals | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 52c | 1,483$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.22 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Mets | 69c | 1,457$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.44 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Nationals | 34c | 1,456$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.06 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Nationals | 34c | 1,397$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Mets | 65c | 1,280$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.02 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 4c | 1,123$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Nationals | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Mets | 77c | 1,085$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.66 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mets | 69c | 1,025$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.02 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Nationals | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Mets | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Nationals | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Mets | 71c | 846.8$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.8 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 5c | 819.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Mets | 68c | 816.18$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.18 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Mets | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 33c | 790.75$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.95 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Mets | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mets | 66c | 762$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.08 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 66c | 757$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Mets | 68c | 752.15$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.45 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Mets | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…9aefbacked Nationals | 34c | 736.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Mets | 68c | 703.34$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.34 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Mets | 66c | 700$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Mets | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Mets | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 34c | 700$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nationals | 44c | 652.69$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Mets | 66c | 600$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Mets | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Nationals | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Nationals | 34c | 553.39$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.32 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Nationals | 34c | 553$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.02 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 9c | 543$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 33c | 539.47$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.02 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 33c | 520.52$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.77 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Nationals | 54c | 475$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.12 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Mets | 68c | 472.07$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.06 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Mets | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Nationals | 34c | 454$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.36 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nationals | 5c | 450$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Nationals | 33c | 447.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.66 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Mets | 67c | 406$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…e51cbacked Mets | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Mets | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Nationals | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf53…3f0dbacked Nationals | 15c | 400$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Mets | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 66c | 331.06$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.24 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mets | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mets | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Mets | 70c | 302$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mets | 66c | 300.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Mets | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Nationals | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Mets | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Metsthis page
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.