TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5532…c6db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
315
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NFL, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT19449%95 W · 99 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 194 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,794Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,794.13
Mets vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$856Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$1,134.54
Blue Jays vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$305.37
Nationals vs. Metsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.66
Blue Jays vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$302.49
Marlins vs. Rockiesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$197.11
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.58
Cardinals vs. Redsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$536Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$682.24
Pirates vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$651.67
Diamondbacks vs. Brewersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$193.59
Braves vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$421.74
Reds vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$1,051.88
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$73.84
Royals vs. Tigersbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$481.22
Athletics vs. Twinsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+115.5%+$1,333.9
Blue Jays vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+150%+$499.6
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.42
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$367.68
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$173.21
Rangers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$726.07
Rays vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.76
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,227Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$963.84
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,058Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,058.18
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.33
Cubs vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$960.46
Showing 25 of 194 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT6031.7%19 W · 41 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-2.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Figueiredo vs. Jacksonbacked Jackson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.96
Santos vs. Yoobacked Yoo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.22
Soriano vs. Veretennikovbacked Veretennikov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$915.42
Vanderford vs. Brahimajbacked Vanderford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$360.82
UFC Fight Night: Stirling vs. Bellatobacked Bellato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.85
UFC Fight Night: Thicknesse vs. Musasabacked Thicknesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$947Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+180%+$1,704.52
UFC Fight Night: Pericic vs. Ellisonbacked Ellison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.41
UFC Fight Night: Lookboonmee vs. Thainarabacked Lookboonmee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$310.08
Noche UFC: Puelles vs. Silvabacked Puelles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.81
UFC Fight Night: Maheshate vs. Youngbacked Maheshate · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$204.65
UFC Fight Night: Yizha vs. Wilsonbacked Wilson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.57
UFC Fight Night: Long vs. Youbacked Long · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.88
UFC Fight Night: Satybaldiev vs. Nurgozhaybacked Nurgozhay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$277.5
UFC 319: Elliott vs. Asakurabacked Elliott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$2,135.26
UFC 319: Susurkaev vs. Nolanbacked Nolan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.57
UFC 319: Meerschaert vs. Oleksiejczukbacked Meerschaert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$881Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$881.48
UFC 319: Hooper vs. Hernandezbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+334.8%+$311.29
UFC 319: Barboza vs. Klosebacked Barboza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.71
UFC 319: Idiris vs. Moralesbacked Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$294.48
UFC Fight Night: Lucindo vs. Hillbacked Hill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,123.41
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Urbinabacked Urbina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$381.91
UFC Fight Night: Fernandes vs. Stoliarenkobacked Stoliarenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$365Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$364.68
UFC Fight Night: Brundage vs. McConicobacked McConico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+182.9%+$422.35
UFC Fight Night: Rosa vs. Cornollebacked Cornolle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.33
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. dos Santosbacked Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$936Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+144.4%+$1,351.99
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Shelton backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+41.9%+$81.58
Wimbledon: Anisimova vs. Pavlyuchenkovabacked Pavlyuchenkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.57
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Sonego backed Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.11
Wimbledon: De Minaur vs. Djokovic backed De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.95
Wimbledon: Alexandrova vs. Bencic (W) backed Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$77
Wimbledon: Cilic vs. Cobolli backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$69.44
Wimbledon: Rublev vs. Alcaraz backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.59
Wimbledon: Bencic vs. Cocciaretto (W) backed Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$39.73
Wimbledon: Fritz vs. Fokina backed Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.77
Wimbledon: Fucsovics vs. Monfilsbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT+111.3%+$316.22
Wimbledon: Evans vs. Djokovicbacked Evans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.16
Wimbledon: Jarry vs. Tien backed Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+80.1%+$155.81
Wimbledon: Siniakova vs. Qinwen (W) backed Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+177.3%+$19.13
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick25cpaid+58.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick12cpaid+181.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Broncos vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$977Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$976.96
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,471Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$2,615.09
Lions vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$665.32
Commanders vs. Chargersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$42.71
Bears vs. Raidersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,054Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$1,340.95
Dolphins vs. Billsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.79
All 6 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will Toulouse FC win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$733Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+122.9%+$900.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$361.6
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$67.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+150%+$968.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$21.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Arouca win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. G2backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$232.71
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.