UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Stirling vs. Bellato
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e6a632b4b64a67054600e7d0013b03887f1cd4643603940ee0e3ed58f18ce1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stirlingof Stirling, Bellato
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $474,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $482,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfaa…2813backed Bellato | 29c | 281,143$82,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,047.23 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Stirling | 71c | 94,822$66,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,867.1 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Stirling | 72c | 93,500$67,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,180 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Stirling | 70c | 67,000$46,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,100 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bellato | 28c | 56,013$15,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,683.68 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Stirling | 71c | 18,350$13,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,321.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stirling | 71c | 17,500$12,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Bellato | 25c | 10,525$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.93 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Bellato | 27c | 10,393$2,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,806.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Stirling | 71c | 10,010$7,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,952.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…10b0backed Stirling | 73c | 9,283$6,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,506.34 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Stirling | 73c | 9,000$6,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,430 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bellato | 28c | 8,614$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.8 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…c0b8backed Stirling | 79c | 6,000$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stirling | 71c | 4,500$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bellato | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Bellato | 28c | 3,500$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bellato | 28c | 3,100$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370f…c4e4backed Stirling | 70c | 2,993$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.72 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Stirling | 71c | 2,500$1,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Bellato | 29c | 2,069$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…f558backed Stirling | 74c | 2,027$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Bellato | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bellato | 28c | 1,945$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.53 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Stirling | 71c | 1,800$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Stirling | 71c | 1,679$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79ea…afc6backed Stirling | 73c | 1,418$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Bellato | 28c | 1,228$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.65 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed Bellato | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Stirling | 78c | 1,018$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Stirling | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Bellato | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Bellato | 28c | 999.98$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Stirling | 79c | 995$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.95 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bellato | 27c | 987.37$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.92 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Bellato | 33c | 927.72$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.44 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Stirling | 72c | 900$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…c32bbacked Stirling | 72c | 818.58$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Stirling | 71c | 810$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.14 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Bellato | 28c | 699.78$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.33 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Stirling | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Bellato | 26c | 649.42$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.85 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Stirling | 72c | 585$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Stirling | 72c | 520$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.35 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Stirling | 78c | 500$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Bellato | 30c | 500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Stirling | 71c | 479.7$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.51 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Stirling | 73c | 425$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stirling | 70c | 418.08$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.37 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Bellato | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Stirling | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Bellato | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Bellato | 27c | 296.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Stirling | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Stirling | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Stirling | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Stirling | 68c | 218.02$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Stirling | 73c | 214.34$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.87 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Stirling | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Stirling | 74c | 202.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Stirling | 71c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d4…d3aabacked Bellato | 28c | 157.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…35dcbacked Stirling | 72c | 157.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b5…e04fbacked Bellato | 30c | 154.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Bellato | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bellato | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stirling | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Stirling | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Stirling | 72c | 126.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Stirling | 72c | 123.75$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +141%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Stirling | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Bellato | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Stirling | 73c | 116.44$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Bellato | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Bellato | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Bellato | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Stirling | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bellato | 27c | 97.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09f…4ad6backed Stirling | 73c | 96.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6623…68febacked Stirling | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Bellato | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Stirling | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Bellato | 28c | 73.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Stirling | 72c | 73.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…a76bbacked Stirling | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Stirling | 73c | 71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Bellato | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Bellato | 29c | 69.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Stirling | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8306…ecc9backed Stirling | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bellato | 28c | 60.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…e6debacked Stirling | 68c | 54.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…d27bbacked Bellato | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 151 | 39.7%60 W · 91 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Bellato | 39c | 51.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…2704backed Stirling | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Stirling | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Stirling | 74c | 32.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…f0f7backed Bellato | 33c | 31.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Stirling | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…cd5ebacked Stirling | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Stirling vs. Bellatothis page
- UFC Fight Night: Carolina vs. MontagueMontague won
- UFC Fight Night: Crute vs. ErslanCrute won
- UFC Fight Night: Jenkins vs. TaverasJenkins won
- UFC Fight Night: Lookboonmee vs. ThainaraThainara won
- UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. MagnyMagny won
- UFC Fight Night: Mullarkey vs. BedoyaMullarkey won
- UFC Fight Night: Pericic vs. EllisonPericic won
- UFC Fight Night: Rowston vs. PetroskiRowston won
- UFC Fight Night: Thicknesse vs. MusasaThicknesse won
- UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. ReyesUlberg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.