UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Jenkins vs. Taveras
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e27aa058e1dd7c17302042e0155ee24bccc2920f5db64d1f7291d105bb14d5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jenkinsof Jenkins, Taveras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Jenkins | 72c | 25,612$18,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,172.18 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Jenkins | 75c | 15,000$11,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752.32 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Taveras | 28c | 14,392$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,029.88 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Taveras | 28c | 13,158$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.37 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Taveras | 28c | 11,269$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…10b0backed Jenkins | 72c | 9,741$7,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Taveras | 25c | 9,242$2,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.5 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Taveras | 19c | 8,443$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.17 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Taveras | 24c | 6,654$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.04 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Taveras | 28c | 3,216$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.08 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Jenkins | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Jenkins | 73c | 2,680$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.69 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Jenkins | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Taveras | 18c | 1,854$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.9 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Jenkins | 72c | 1,717$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.76 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Taveras | 25c | 1,690$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.42 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Jenkins | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Taveras | 27c | 1,490$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.42 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Taveras | 23c | 1,000$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.9 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Jenkins | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Taveras | 27c | 941.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.34 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Taveras | 25c | 926.41$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.6 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Taveras | 18c | 894.69$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Jenkins | 73c | 864.26$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jenkins | 70c | 710.34$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.7 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Taveras | 26c | 706.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.66 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jenkins | 75c | 679.89$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.04 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Taveras | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Taveras | 28c | 660$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Taveras | 25c | 587.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Jenkins | 72c | 584.15$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.56 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Taveras | 27c | 450.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Taveras | 26c | 417.86$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Jenkins | 72c | 406.94$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked Taveras | 19c | 351$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Taveras | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Jenkins | 71c | 278.34$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Taveras | 25c | 275$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Taveras | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Taveras | 27c | 246.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Jenkins | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Jenkins | 75c | 180$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Taveras | 16c | 171.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Taveras | 13c | 153.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jenkins | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Jenkins | 72c | 125$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…e6debacked Taveras | 35c | 109.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Taveras | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Jenkins | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Taveras | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Taveras | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Taveras | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Jenkins | 68c | 80.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Jenkins | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…e3ebbacked Jenkins | 72c | 74.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Jenkins | 73c | 70.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Taveras | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Jenkins | 73c | 67.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Jenkins | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Jenkins | 73c | 65.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Taveras | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Taveras | 27c | 59.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Jenkins | 72c | 55.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…4b7ebacked Jenkins | 74c | 54.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Taveras | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Jenkins | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Taveras | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Taveras | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Jenkins | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a3…0c5dbacked Jenkins | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Taveras | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Jenkins | 73c | 36.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Jenkins | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Jenkins | 80c | 27.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Jenkins | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jenkins | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9d…c956backed Jenkins | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…0de1backed Jenkins | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Jenkins vs. Taverasthis page
- UFC Fight Night: Carolina vs. MontagueMontague won
- UFC Fight Night: Crute vs. ErslanCrute won
- UFC Fight Night: Lookboonmee vs. ThainaraThainara won
- UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. MagnyMagny won
- UFC Fight Night: Mullarkey vs. BedoyaMullarkey won
- UFC Fight Night: Pericic vs. EllisonPericic won
- UFC Fight Night: Rowston vs. PetroskiRowston won
- UFC Fight Night: Stirling vs. BellatoStirling won
- UFC Fight Night: Thicknesse vs. MusasaThicknesse won
- UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. ReyesUlberg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.