UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Magny
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x244953521d32829a099aeebe1835298475d13822de5606f639497b2bda5cddb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magnyof Matthews, Magny
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $272,052
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $256,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,052 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Magny | 25c | 86,814$21,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,258.25 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Matthews | 66c | 50,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Matthews | 76c | 48,400$36,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,610.09 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Magny | 15c | 28,123$4,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,039.5 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Matthews | 76c | 24,000$18,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,240 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magny | 24c | 19,095$4,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,511.94 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Magny | 37c | 18,482$6,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,613.94 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Magny | 34c | 12,000$4,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,922.3 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Magny | 25c | 10,885$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,129.69 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Matthews | 74c | 10,371$7,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,674.73 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Matthews | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Magny | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Matthews | 77c | 8,842$6,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,816 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Magny | 23c | 8,486$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,534.41 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Matthews | 74c | 6,462$4,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,784.15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magny | 8c | 6,443$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,929.51 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…10b0backed Matthews | 75c | 5,168$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Matthews | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magny | 25c | 3,683$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.25 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Matthews | 74c | 3,575$2,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,656.25 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Matthews | 75c | 3,246$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.92 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Magny | 27c | 2,943$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.19 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Magny | 25c | 2,794$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.5 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Matthews | 75c | 2,693$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.48 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magny | 7c | 2,647$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.62 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Matthews | 73c | 2,089$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Matthews | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Magny | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Matthews | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.99 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…f1bdbacked Matthews | 76c | 1,434$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Matthews | 74c | 1,413$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.63 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Magny | 25c | 1,192$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.3 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Matthews | 75c | 1,050$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.5 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Magny | 19c | 1,035$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.17 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Matthews | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…b2f9backed Magny | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Matthews | 75c | 999.99$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Magny | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.99 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Magny | 27c | 925.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.93 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…d11cbacked Magny | 25c | 870.64$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.58 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…896abacked Matthews | 77c | 821.03$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.19 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Matthews | 74c | 775$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.5 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Magny | 33c | 668$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.49 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Magny | 21c | 650$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.07 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Magny | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Matthews | 75c | 583.63$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.76 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2800…2081backed Matthews | 76c | 547.61$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Matthews | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Magny | 4c | 476.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +1,291.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magny | 24c | 443$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.68 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Magny | 21c | 440.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.23 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Matthews | 77c | 422.08$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8c…415cbacked Magny | 24c | 411$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Matthews | 78c | 391.92$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.22 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Magny | 26c | 380.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.89 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magny | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Matthews | 76c | 359.99$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.59 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Matthews | 75c | 280$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Matthews | 74c | 270$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Matthews | 75c | 269$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.75 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Magny | 22c | 256.41$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Matthews | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Matthews | 75c | 250$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…bc18backed Magny | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Magny | 26c | 235.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.19 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Matthews | 76c | 219.87$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.14 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…36fabacked Magny | 26c | 216.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.49 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Magny | 24c | 215$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.4 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe40…2f99backed Magny | 24c | 210.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.01 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Magny | 25c | 200.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.25 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Matthews | 69c | 181.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…424bbacked Magny | 21c | 178.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.37 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Matthews | 78c | 177.9$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.76 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Magny | 27c | 172.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.38 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Magny | 7c | 163.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.05 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…656cbacked Magny | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Magny | 20c | 146.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 223 | 34.1%76 W · 147 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Magny | 23c | 140.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Matthews | 75c | 133$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Magny | 15c | 131.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.43 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Magny | 22c | 128.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 120 | 55.8%67 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Magny | 34c | 120$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc35…d905backed Matthews | 78c | 115.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…965ebacked Matthews | 76c | 105.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Magny | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Magny | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a37…2c6dbacked Magny | 25c | 99.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Magny | 23c | 86.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +141%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd700…7d04backed Magny | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Magny | 16c | 80$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Matthews | 70c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Matthews | 75c | 73.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Magny | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Matthews | 75c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8306…ecc9backed Matthews | 76c | 69.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Matthews | 76c | 69.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Magny | 24c | 67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…9bc4backed Magny | 24c | 65.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…a76bbacked Matthews | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…10cabacked Matthews | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Magnythis page
- UFC Fight Night: Carolina vs. MontagueMontague won
- UFC Fight Night: Crute vs. ErslanCrute won
- UFC Fight Night: Jenkins vs. TaverasJenkins won
- UFC Fight Night: Lookboonmee vs. ThainaraThainara won
- UFC Fight Night: Mullarkey vs. BedoyaMullarkey won
- UFC Fight Night: Pericic vs. EllisonPericic won
- UFC Fight Night: Rowston vs. PetroskiRowston won
- UFC Fight Night: Stirling vs. BellatoStirling won
- UFC Fight Night: Thicknesse vs. MusasaThicknesse won
- UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. ReyesUlberg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.