TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a14…e79f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Boxing at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT6258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$460
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$17.65
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15,895Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15,894.66
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$1,320
Angels vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22,554Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+46%+$10,371.38
Dodgers vs. Oriolesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24,910Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$24,909.61
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,146Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$1,554
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,864Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$3,645.28
Spread: Brewers (-1.5)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$570
Diamondbacks vs. Brewersbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$7,071Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+128.3%+$9,068.87
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$505Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$505.08
Rangers vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.32
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18,206Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$14,304.84
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,764Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+58.2%+$3,352.02
Giants vs. Padresbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,320Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$1,680
Orioles vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31,954Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$31,954.31
Phillies vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$288.44
Red Sox vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,553Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+349.3%+$5,422.95
Pirates vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14,602Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$9,335.82
Rays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$843Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$718.06
Mets vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40,791Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+74.8%+$30,521.22
Astros vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,983.07
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26,588Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$26,587.66
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59,520Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+41.4%+$24,666.59
Athletics vs. Nationalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16,240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$12,759.99
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST4654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,725Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$775
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$343.86
Warriors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$3,900
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$2,599.99
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$3,279.15
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30,986Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+43%+$13,331.53
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$146,870Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+41.3%+$60,689.91
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.72
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$11
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$14,100.73
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79,730Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$39,270
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$6,240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+203%+$12,668.36
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,867Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$9,866.74
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$622.59
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+112.7%+$680.03
Will Knicks vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$232.29
Pacers vs Knicks: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$490
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+101.8%+$3,247.84
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50,395Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$30,887.36
Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$142.02
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30,524Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+36.8%+$11,244.26
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26,714Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$9,386
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Nuggets vs Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$144
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT2948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Crute vs. Erslanbacked Crute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,359Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$1,110.24
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Magnybacked Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$7,600
UFC Fight Night: Stirling vs. Bellatobacked Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$7,057Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$2,952.9
Will Trump attend UFC 319?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17,687Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17,686.58
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Urbinabacked Urbina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$4,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,019.89
UFC Fight Night: Park vs. Tairabacked Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,026Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$360.62
UFC Fight Night: Estevam vs. Bunes backed Bunes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$4,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,647.95
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGheebacked McGhee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$550
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francebacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,852Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$1,650.8
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,394Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+92.4%+$1,288.98
UFC 317: Dariush vs. Moicanobacked Dariush · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$5,100
UFC 317: Talbott vs. Limabacked Talbott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$1,239.99
UFC 317: Hermansson vs. Rodriguesbacked Hermansson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,599.98
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Bahamondesbacked Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,023Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+129.6%+$3,917.15
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Kunievbacked Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,669Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$715.24
Luque vs. Hollandbacked Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$8,801Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$8,801.11
Murzakanov vs. Ribeirobacked Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$340.62
Jacoby vs. Lopesbacked Jacoby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+58%+$419.59
Filho vs. Nascimentobacked Filho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,374.34
Gordon vs. Moisésbacked Moisés · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$336.4
Park vs. Hernandezbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,218Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,218.12
Pennington vs. Pinheirobacked Pennington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,788Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+37%+$661.49
Andrade vs. Jasudaviciusbacked Jasudavicius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,684Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$942.94
Kattar vs. Zalalbacked Kattar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,700
Topuria vs. Hollowaybacked Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$6,707Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$6,707.46
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12,450
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$9,887Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$11,605.95
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$7,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$9,039.41
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$2,900
Panthers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,633Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,632.9
Rangers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$5,000
Rangers vs. Avalanchebacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,084Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$1,083.59
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$207.59
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$311.84
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$341.98
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+64.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,524Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$1,586.6
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$6,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$6,146.34
Titans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$724Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+40.3%+$291.96
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$12,174.01
Giants vs. Steelersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$929Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$928.89
Cowboys vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,724Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+45.8%+$2,166.15
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT+138.1%+$290
All 7 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Washington (-11.5)backed Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$218.38
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$2,240.12
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$136.56
Memphis vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,272Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$1,271.85
Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+292.3%+$3,052
All 5 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 15-34backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$1,025.42
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$239.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+162.9%+$692.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rodri win the Ballon d’Or?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$667.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.