MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x555233a278ccc95e220637dad6d419922c62c4a0fde31813d726af9f92039bfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Reds, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $549,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $557,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $549,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 629 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Pirates | 48c | 341,276$163,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178,222.89 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Reds | 52c | 162,200$84,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,344 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Reds | 52c | 51,130$26,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,587.66 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…761ebacked Reds | 53c | 48,359$25,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,630.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Reds | 53c | 42,500$22,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,524.96 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Reds | 52c | 27,577$14,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,346.45 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pirates | 47c | 15,555$7,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,244.15 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pirates | 47c | 15,088$7,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,996.64 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Reds | 53c | 12,098$6,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,383.98 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Reds | 52c | 10,200$5,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,304 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Reds | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…fadebacked Reds | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Reds | 64c | 7,838$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Pirates | 42c | 6,155$2,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,580.52 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Reds | 47c | 5,779$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,715.68 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ffaabacked Reds | 42c | 5,740$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Reds | 52c | 5,500$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.97 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Reds | 36c | 5,383$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Pirates | 46c | 4,933$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,663.81 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Reds | 53c | 4,325$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.24 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Pirates | 50c | 3,855$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.96 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 41c | 3,673$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,173.67 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pirates | 49c | 3,627$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.35 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Pirates | 47c | 3,381$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.02 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 53c | 3,325$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…a674backed Pirates | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…c0d3backed Pirates | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Reds | 53c | 2,911$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.92 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Reds | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Reds | 52c | 2,344$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.93 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 56c | 2,218$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.43 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Reds | 51c | 2,190$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.33 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reds | 52c | 2,118$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.8 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Reds | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…1f71backed Pirates | 50c | 2,001$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Reds | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f75…f4a3backed Reds | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…74f3backed Pirates | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Pirates | 48c | 1,999$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.59 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Reds | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Reds | 53c | 1,793$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.33 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…35aebacked Pirates | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Reds | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 53c | 1,666$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.37 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd05…edf7backed Pirates | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Pirates | 51c | 1,480$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.19 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Reds | 75c | 1,336$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pirates | 51c | 1,331$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.37 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2a…3d34backed Reds | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Pirates | 48c | 1,209$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.55 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 61c | 1,182$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.68 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pirates | 47c | 1,123$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Pirates | 47c | 1,092$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.68 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Reds | 52c | 1,060$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.2 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Pirates | 48c | 1,058$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.65 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…0a1dbacked Pirates | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Reds | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Pirates | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Pirates | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Pirates | 48c | 999.89$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.01 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Reds | 52c | 942$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.84 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Pirates | 51c | 910.99$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.39 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Pirates | 47c | 893.62$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.62 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Pirates | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Reds | 74c | 845$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.3 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 50c | 843$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.44 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Reds | 58c | 812.73$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.92 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…5958backed Reds | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc145…4ce3backed Reds | 53c | 785.45$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea93…8159backed Pirates | 48c | 785.42$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 33c | 750.75$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Pirates | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Reds | 74c | 700$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Pirates | 31c | 694.27$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.93 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Reds | 53c | 684.91$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…823ebacked Pirates | 48c | 680.94$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Pirates | 32c | 650$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931e…8547backed Pirates | 50c | 610$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 45cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…f672backed Reds | 50c | 606$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…44f9backed Reds | 50c | 594$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…aacdbacked Pirates | 50c | 590$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…51e3backed Pirates | 47c | 558$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.74 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…a0d7backed Reds | 51c | 549$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Pirates | 52c | 541.51$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.92 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Reds | 49c | 504.86$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Pirates | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates | 32c | 486.91$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.78 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Reds | 52c | 477.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…9e5cbacked Reds | 51c | 471$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.41per pick | 52cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae2a…add1backed Reds | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…235cbacked Pirates | 48c | 424$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…d547backed Pirates | 50c | 410$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Reds | 54c | 408.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.37 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Reds | 50c | 401.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d2fabacked Reds | 53c | 400.01$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…8e5dbacked Pirates | 50c | 390$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b63…d2cfbacked Pirates | 48c | 341.81$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Pirates | 48c | 320$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.1 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.