TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc352…51e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT3762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+28.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockies vs. Giantsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.6
Mets vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+122.3%+$389.6
White Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$293
Pirates vs. Redsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+150%+$525
Phillies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+113.1%+$683.57
Giants vs. Diamondbacksbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$655.71
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$490
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$598.22
Braves vs. Cubsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$467
Marlins vs. Metsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$135.57
Cardinals vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$344.75
Cardinals vs. Redsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+130.6%+$443.91
Rays vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$340
Pirates vs. Cardinalsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$303
Giants vs. Padresbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$284.5
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$259
Mariners vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$360.37
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$225
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2025, EDT+119.7%+$119.73
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Phillies vs. Redsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$324
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$347Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$347
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+100%+$4,300
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$295.74
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$122.54
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 9, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$1,271
Bears vs. Lionsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$259
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$411
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.