MLB · resolved market

Phillies vs. Marlins

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4a5e0a0b70d10666f369c23557dc2545405d27b80743768b8f2de3320585957

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Philliesof Phillies, Marlins
Resolved: Sep 6, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $215,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $233,592

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,547 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 439 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7435…a620backed Phillies	61c	77,415$46,969 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,445.85	286	46.5%133 W · 153 L	-15.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins	39c	31,857$12,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,424.42	1,328	51.4%682 W · 646 L	+25.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies	59c	22,425$13,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,194.22	444	56.5%251 W · 193 L	+21.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins	39c	17,304$6,749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,748.66	1,591	50.3%801 W · 790 L	+68.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Marlins	17c	15,086$2,638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,638.4	218	47.7%104 W · 114 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Marlins	41c	12,186$4,996 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,996.23	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-5.8wins	-0.24per pick	45cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies	65c	9,047$5,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,170.63	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins	28c	8,091$2,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,294.09	1,530	50.5%772 W · 758 L	+20.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Marlins	26c	5,421$1,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,388.98	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7678…102ebacked Marlins	40c	5,012$2,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,004.8	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.18per pick	41cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Marlins	41c	4,700$1,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,921.3	166	47.6%79 W · 87 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins	40c	4,292$1,697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,696.98	2,470	52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L	+17.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Phillies	60c	3,507$2,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,402.8	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Marlins	41c	3,103$1,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,272.23	207	47.8%99 W · 108 L	-11.6wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Marlins	40c	3,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	115	53%61 W · 54 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+38%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins	41c	2,917$1,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195.97	1,132	48.9%553 W · 579 L	-16.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Phillies	60c	2,386$1,432 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$954.4	242	53.7%130 W · 112 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins	41c	2,297$935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.44	389	49.1%191 W · 198 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Marlins	41c	2,000$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+2.2wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Marlins	39c	2,000$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	387	51.9%201 W · 186 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Marlins	40c	1,911$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.9	731	49.4%361 W · 370 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies	59c	1,533$904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.51	631	52.6%332 W · 299 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Marlins	16c	1,473$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.62	692	49%339 W · 353 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins	40c	1,350$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	508	43.3%220 W · 288 L	+21.8wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc352…51e3backed Marlins	41c	1,195$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+5.2wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Phillies	79c	1,193$942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.48	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Marlins	40c	1,088$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.2	124	36.3%45 W · 79 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Marlins	41c	1,008$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+3.6wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Marlins	40c	1,004$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.6	207	48.8%101 W · 106 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fec…fc7bbacked Marlins	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	102	2.9%3 W · 99 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-60%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked Marlins	40c	999.96$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.98	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Marlins	41c	975.61$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	667	48.7%325 W · 342 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins	41c	975$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.75	1,293	46.6%603 W · 690 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Marlins	40c	802.99$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.75	150	33.3%50 W · 100 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins	41c	799.97$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.99	832	48%399 W · 433 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins	40c	745$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298	444	43%191 W · 253 L	+21.1wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Marlins	39c	718$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.02	733	52.4%384 W · 349 L	+12.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Marlins	40c	635.28$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.42	1,212	52.1%631 W · 581 L	+21.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins	39c	539.82$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.53	513	47%241 W · 272 L	+32.0wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Marlins	41c	520.12$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.25	129	49.6%64 W · 65 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Marlins	40c	499.7$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.88	1,408	48.8%687 W · 721 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Marlins	40c	495$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.45	1,445	50%723 W · 722 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins	41c	487.8$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	959	30%288 W · 671 L	-24.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Marlins	42c	477$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.34	179	46.4%83 W · 96 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins	20c	436.51$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.8	708	41.4%293 W · 415 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Marlins	41c	400$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164	1,360	44.3%602 W · 758 L	+45.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Phillies	60c	400$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	85	62.4%53 W · 32 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed Marlins	41c	400$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins	41c	329.2$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.97	809	55.5%449 W · 360 L	+12.4wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Marlins	41c	316$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.56	1,086	46.2%502 W · 584 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Marlins	41c	300$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	3,303	46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L	+22.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed Marlins	41c	288.82$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.42	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1148…dc44backed Phillies	59c	286.41$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.41	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1451…2915backed Marlins	41c	273.17$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	35	51.4%18 W · 17 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins	19c	265.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.95	4,187	50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L	+94.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	927	54.9%509 W · 418 L	-19.1wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Marlins	39c	250$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	118	38.1%45 W · 73 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Phillies	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	546	54.9%300 W · 246 L	+12.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Marlins	41c	249.99$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	121	52.1%63 W · 58 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Marlins	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	401	44.1%177 W · 224 L	-17.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Phillies	60c	240$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	999	51%509 W · 490 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd0…7efcbacked Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-6.0wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x245f…b6d7backed Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea3…e142backed Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8381…ebcfbacked Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7620…b9eabacked Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7623…565dbacked Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…78e3backed Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac5…3536backed Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	50	60%30 W · 20 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44d3…6f65backed Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x247e…3a07backed Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8e2…5daebacked Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a5b…02fabacked Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d07…3068backed Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f8f…963ebacked Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-4.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x093b…e84cbacked Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cca…6c96backed Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	50	46%23 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ed1…d738backed Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a6…835abacked Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee96…55e1backed Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8981…f8bdbacked Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf15e…23e4backed Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31b1…9335backed Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-5.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c32…7ff0backed Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc815…d9d0backed Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c7…c60fbacked Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7164…f463backed Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa308…46aebacked Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	51	43.1%22 W · 29 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc26…1430backed Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…5b89backed Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	56	41.1%23 W · 33 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3161…661fbacked Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	55	54.5%30 W · 25 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb571…fdfabacked Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fb6…7beabacked Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe736…6b50backed Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-5.5wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a49…e04bbacked Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x403f…2206backed Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	54	50%27 W · 27 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfd1…1809backed Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	54	61.1%33 W · 21 L	+6.6wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa4be…50adbacked Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e10…5a63backed Phillies	60c	200$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	-5.0wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ea7…5866backed Marlins	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Phillies vs. Marlinsthis page
Phillies vs. Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Phillies vs. Marlins

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event