TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x63d4…a2f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
303
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT18254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 182 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+525%+$924
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$600
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$729.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$610
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$252
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.22
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$392.43
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$510
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$870
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$585
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$935
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$252
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,399Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$571.48
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$639.97
Will Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,007.77
Showing 25 of 182 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,264Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$344.97
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,490
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$681Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$680.79
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,670Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.8%+$1,330
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,211Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+141.4%+$4,541.77
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+258.3%+$396.7
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47.77
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+217.2%+$322.6
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$577.55
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,599Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,598.9
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50,737Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+40.2%+$20,407.46
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$45,978Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+38.8%+$17,850.22
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,956Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+52.9%+$4,209.35
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,644Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+129.8%+$3,430.74
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$961.13
Iran strike on Qatar today?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$247.47
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10,884Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10,883.7
Israel military action on Yemen before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$404.09
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.7
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,033Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+68.2%+$2,067
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$729.37
US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$140.95
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,284Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+59.5%+$764.03
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$898Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$897.68
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,669.94
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$601.08
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$6,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,289.39
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,753Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,752.98
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.19
Elon out of Trump administration before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$572.67
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$267.54
Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT+119.6%+$202.04
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,594Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,593.89
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,663Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST+79.8%+$1,326.37
Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,351Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+38.1%+$3,944.58
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$207.5
Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$47.29
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12,016Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+35.8%+$4,304.38
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$420
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+78.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$355.2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+145.9%+$868.6
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+101%+$980.09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,061Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+92%+$2,815.81
Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$867Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+73.6%+$637.5
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29,304Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+52%+$15,237.54
Energy infrastructure ceasefire in Ukraine in March? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$54.6
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$1,020
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,257Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$3,257.3
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+163.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$8,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,853.83
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20,672Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,672.36
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$21.81
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$378.51
Yoon in jail before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$450
Will South Korea presidential election winner get over 50% of votes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+1,735.6%+$4,591.07
Yoon reinstated as President before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,769Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+84.2%+$2,331
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$6,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,865
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-77.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.99
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$421.88
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.2
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.51
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-69.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Supreme Court delay the Tiktok ban?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+47.1%+$241.23
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$325.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valentin Royer win the 2025 Hangzhou Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2025 Boss Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$5.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cluely CEO Roy Lee get a girlfriend by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$112.5
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$4,015Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+37%+$1,485
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+148.5%+$590.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$471Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+143.9%+$677.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Oh, Mary!" win the Tony for Best Play 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+137.7%+$18.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+83.4%+$746.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stanford vs. Hawaiibacked Hawai'i · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$156
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+33.3%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Topuria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+25%+$44.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$470 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 15 – Dec 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Johannes Hoesflot Klaebo record the most gold medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$357
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2024 WR Chess Masters Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$35.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,050
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$450.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.