NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7ff7109bf4955b8a405d9a9de5a80dd552cb005e6237681eb7d574784cd142a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Jazz, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,015,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,313,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,015,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Pacers | 52c | 228,217$118,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,285.31 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Jazz | 57c | 200,000$114,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,999.96 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Jazz | 58c | 169,763$98,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,337.99 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Jazz | 51c | 135,718$68,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,925.92 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Pacers | 43c | 116,140$49,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,967 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -8.5wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -62%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Pacers | 43c | 101,162$43,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,399.48 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Pacers | 42c | 86,207$36,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,206.94 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz | 53c | 76,221$40,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,090.65 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 48c | 59,505$28,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,694.6 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Pacers | 43c | 56,296$24,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,173.31 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pacers | 59c | 56,000$33,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,039.91 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…b212backed Jazz | 43c | 53,221$22,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,565.29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pacers | 59c | 50,000$29,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,250 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Pacers | 45c | 44,573$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 50c | 42,769$21,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,448.29 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pacers | 52c | 40,954$21,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,204.59 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Jazz | 39c | 40,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,249.89 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers | 44c | 35,800$15,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,751.96 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pacers | 51c | 34,900$17,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,891.43 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Jazz | 57c | 32,000$18,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,860 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Jazz | 57c | 28,000$15,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,160 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pacers | 59c | 25,786$15,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,213.66 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers | 60c | 25,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Pacers | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Jazz | 41c | 24,000$9,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,160 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Jazz | 48c | 22,394$10,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,644.63 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Jazz | 45c | 21,406$9,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,709.91 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Jazz | 52c | 21,302$11,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,236.31 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Pacers | 42c | 20,495$8,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,607.98 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Jazz | 55c | 19,994$11,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,913.81 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers | 28c | 19,800$5,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,580.69 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers | 42c | 19,022$7,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,989.41 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Jazz | 52c | 18,564$9,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,895.09 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 53c | 18,378$9,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,708.25 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz | 47c | 18,194$8,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,700.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Pacers | 44c | 17,915$7,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,882.6 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz | 48c | 17,459$8,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,067.25 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz | 66c | 17,049$11,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,863.45 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 50c | 16,880$8,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,449.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Pacers | 50c | 16,668$8,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,333.94 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Pacers | 44c | 15,873$6,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,984.12 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pacers | 48c | 15,613$7,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,443.12 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Jazz | 39c | 15,088$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,153.97 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Pacers | 0c | 15,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Jazz | 52c | 15,000$7,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,150 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Pacers | 47c | 14,998$7,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,049.03 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Pacers | 44c | 14,707$6,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,471 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Pacers | 25c | 14,633$3,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,691.83 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz | 49c | 14,612$7,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,459.23 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pacers | 56c | 12,020$6,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,686.34 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Jazz | 44c | 11,965$5,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700.3 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Jazz | 56c | 11,000$6,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Jazz | 56c | 10,750$6,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Pacers | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Jazz | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pacers | 54c | 9,666$5,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,176.01 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz | 53c | 9,600$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz | 49c | 9,531$4,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.84 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcd…355abacked Pacers | 49c | 9,413$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,612.27 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Pacers | 22c | 9,254$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Pacers | 44c | 9,100$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410a…2643backed Jazz | 41c | 9,000$3,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,309.98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Jazz | 56c | 8,862$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,862.26 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Pacers | 44c | 8,733$3,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,823.38 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jazz | 51c | 8,607$4,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,253.81 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pacers | 45c | 8,596$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.37 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Jazz | 38c | 8,555$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,304.39 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers | 34c | 8,406$2,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,826.42 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…ef0fbacked Jazz | 69c | 8,269$5,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Jazz | 58c | 8,099$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,401.53 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Jazz | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…4121backed Pacers | 51c | 7,667$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.64 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Jazz | 56c | 7,369$4,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.51 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz | 56c | 7,200$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Pacers | 62c | 7,000$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.99 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Jazz | 63c | 6,593$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.39 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Jazz | 41c | 6,533$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,854.47 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Jazz | 58c | 6,500$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,730 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pacers | 44c | 6,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Jazz | 39c | 6,461$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.08 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Pacers | 44c | 6,453$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Jazz | 54c | 6,215$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Pacers | 59c | 6,032$3,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.22 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Pacers | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Jazz | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,599.98 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 55c | 5,966$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.7 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Jazz | 57c | 5,934$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.81 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Pacers | 51c | 5,705$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.01 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Pacers | 42c | 5,700$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Jazz | 58c | 5,194$3,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.64 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz | 46c | 5,190$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.44 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Pacers | 44c | 5,136$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers | 43c | 5,083$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.27 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Jazz | 56c | 5,039$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.25 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Pacers | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Pacers | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,050 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Jazz | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Pacers | 44c | 4,856$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156.35 | 334 | 28.1%94 W · 240 L | -20.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…8a29backed Pacers | 42c | 4,750$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Pacers | 59c | 4,600$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Pacersthis page
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Ace Bailey: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 8.5No won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 231.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Johnny Furphy: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Kyle Filipowski: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Lauri Markkanen: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Jazz (-1.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Pacers (-5.5)Jazz won
- T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.