TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Jazz, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,015,294
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,313,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,015,294 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pacers52c228,217$118,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118,285.3151844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Jazz57c200,000$114,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,999.969043.3%39 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Jazz58c169,763$98,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,337.9923257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Jazz51c135,718$68,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,925.9287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Pacers43c116,140$49,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,9673411.8%4 W · 30 L-8.5wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-62%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Pacers43c101,162$43,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,399.4854539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Pacers42c86,207$36,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,206.948961.8%55 W · 34 L+0.4wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Jazz53c76,221$40,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,090.651,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz48c59,505$28,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,694.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Pacers43c56,296$24,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,173.315139.2%20 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Pacers59c56,000$33,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,039.9148343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7df6…b212backed Jazz43c53,221$22,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,565.291844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers59c50,000$29,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,2501,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f4…544cbacked Pacers45c44,573$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,0003920.5%8 W · 31 L-11.0wins-0.28per pick49cpaid-58.8%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers50c42,769$21,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,448.291,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pacers52c40,954$21,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,204.5981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed Jazz39c40,000$15,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,249.8911252.7%59 W · 53 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pacers44c35,800$15,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,751.961,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pacers51c34,900$17,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,891.432,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ea…bb01backed Jazz57c32,000$18,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,8605648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Jazz57c28,000$15,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,16060351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pacers59c25,786$15,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,213.661,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pacers60c25,000$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11db…841fbacked Pacers0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252270%0 W · 227 L-0.2wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Jazz41c24,000$9,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,16019645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Jazz48c22,394$10,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,644.6336359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Jazz45c21,406$9,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,709.916651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz52c21,302$11,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,236.312,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed Pacers42c20,495$8,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,607.9813357.9%77 W · 56 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Jazz55c19,994$11,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,913.8134456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacers28c19,800$5,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,580.691,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers42c19,022$7,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,989.412,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1e1…f855backed Jazz52c18,564$9,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,895.0928742.9%123 W · 164 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz53c18,378$9,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,708.254,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Jazz47c18,194$8,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,700.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Pacers44c17,915$7,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,882.630845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz48c17,459$8,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,067.251,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz66c17,049$11,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,863.451,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz50c16,880$8,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,449.919,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Pacers50c16,668$8,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,333.9462347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Pacers44c15,873$6,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,984.125534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pacers48c15,613$7,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,443.123,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Jazz39c15,088$5,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,153.9715349%75 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pacers0c15,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Jazz52c15,000$7,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,15015247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Pacers47c14,998$7,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,049.0314243%61 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Pacers44c14,707$6,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,47124942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Pacers25c14,633$3,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,691.839336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz49c14,612$7,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,459.232,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pacers56c12,020$6,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,686.341,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Jazz44c11,965$5,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,700.313842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Jazz56c11,000$6,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,84019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Jazz56c10,750$6,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,73024549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Pacers58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80035450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Jazz58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2005156.9%29 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Pacers54c9,666$5,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,176.012,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz53c9,600$5,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,51258449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz49c9,531$4,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,903.844,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Pacers49c9,413$4,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,612.277536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Pacers22c9,254$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00019136.1%69 W · 122 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed Pacers44c9,100$4,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0043345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x410a…2643backed Jazz41c9,000$3,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,309.982759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Jazz56c8,862$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,862.2622458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Pacers44c8,733$3,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,823.388230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz51c8,607$4,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,253.812,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pacers45c8,596$3,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,868.3772450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Jazz38c8,555$3,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,304.391,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers34c8,406$2,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,826.421,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e62…ef0fbacked Jazz69c8,269$5,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,552.631346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Jazz58c8,099$4,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,401.5338046.6%177 W · 203 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Jazz54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,68046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Pacers51c7,667$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,916.6411949.6%59 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Jazz56c7,369$4,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,250.5137557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jazz56c7,200$4,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,167.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked Pacers62c7,000$4,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,309.9920048%96 W · 104 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Jazz63c6,593$4,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.399852%51 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Jazz41c6,533$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,854.4719957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Jazz58c6,500$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,73024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Pacers44c6,500$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8608543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Jazz39c6,461$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,941.0815844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Pacers44c6,453$2,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80731644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Jazz54c6,215$3,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88221944.7%98 W · 121 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Pacers59c6,032$3,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,542.2248944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pacers44c6,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64031445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Jazz40c6,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.9812144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz55c5,966$3,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,684.76,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Jazz57c5,934$3,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,551.819857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pacers51c5,705$2,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,884.011,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Pacers42c5,700$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3948348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Jazz58c5,194$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.6426444.7%118 W · 146 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz46c5,190$2,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,809.442,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Pacers44c5,136$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2603857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers43c5,083$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.273,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Jazz56c5,039$2,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,236.2565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Pacers44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20014244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Pacers61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,05016641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Jazz57c5,000$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1507943%34 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Pacers44c4,856$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.3533428.1%94 W · 240 L-20.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x92d1…8a29backed Pacers42c4,750$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9956344.4%28 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Pacers59c4,600$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7149758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.