TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,818 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c4,696$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c4,659$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,559.659,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Under56c4,116$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.6645850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d7…8ff3backed Under50c3,399$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94c9…64dabacked Under50c3,008$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Under51c2,302$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.115844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c2,269$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,157.294,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under51c2,153$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.631,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f76…67acbacked Under50c1,647$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.3320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x247c…4266backed Over50c1,627$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0634…d045backed Over50c1,610$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e6…4ab2backed Over50c1,452$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9aa…9988backed Over50c1,263$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e2…ad35backed Over50c1,107$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over46c950.72$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Under60c700$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42047856.5%270 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over54c637.21$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.923,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c603.72$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.432,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2415650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c547.65$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.793,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over59c519.24$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.773,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c475$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.7540146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5a…b45cbacked Over50c426$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd954…4185backed Under51c414$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.141540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe268…0573backed Over50c409$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41b…dd9dbacked Under51c408$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.081030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3c1…6f06backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ee…edeabacked Over50c390$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a3…1259backed Under51c390$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.91435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ef3…1a90backed Under51c387$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.371457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28fb…f005backed Over50c387$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26bc…4653backed Over50c374$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c328.13$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.632,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under56c323.01$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.662,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under55c250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.52,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over45c242.34$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.723,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x23c2…3fc7backed Over48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042050%10 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Over50c176$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887361.6%45 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked Over51c155.2$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.054454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under61c138$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1818343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Over39c127.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.849753.6%52 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Over50c123$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.59560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over52c119.43$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5240849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over40c110.34$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6726638.7%103 W · 163 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over52c104.61$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.091,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Over50c86$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434560%27 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5540…9c18backed Over41c83.17$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over51c71.8$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4620949.3%103 W · 106 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.549351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over44c64.86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3295047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88a4…89edbacked Under33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under60c53.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5457657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over76c52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over78c47.45$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.442,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over45c46.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.343,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c44.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.782,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over40c43.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1150841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Over64c42.37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2919050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under49c40.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.051,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed Under60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244351.2%22 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7d4…c5cdbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.229655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Under50c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe829…a4aabacked Under50c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192425%6 W · 18 L-6.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x309a…f474backed Over76c37.09$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.91741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97de…15eabacked Under50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under58c31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9871245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd4…9cebbacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over51c28.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8362744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Under50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under51c27.84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.233552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Under50c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134060%24 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a80…cbf7backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c18…0806backed Under61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157350.7%37 W · 36 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under60c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Under50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Over45c23.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0748956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Under61c23.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3517750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafb8…505cbacked Under55c21.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.073435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9255…87a4backed Under50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7219…fcf7backed Under50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under53c20.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.161,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.551,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38a4…d83bbacked Under60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.