TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x23c2…3fc7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: La Liga, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 58 out of 100; worst Asian League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
76ers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$33
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$18.5
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+96.1%+$27.44
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+203%+$30.15
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+270.4%+$29.2
Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 243.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+334.8%+$61.6
Magic vs. Thunderbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+150%+$75
Jazz vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$48.33
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$120.69
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Krakenbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$90.17
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Red Wings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$56.54
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$72.41
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$78.57
Sabres vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$57.5
Predators vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers: O/U 151.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
California Golden Bears vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.93
Stetson Hatters vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$31.73
Wichita State Shockers vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 170.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawksbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Army Black Knights vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$18.25
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Penn State Nittany Lionsbacked Penn State Nittany Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$61.88
Connecticut Huskies vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$64.25
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Akron Zipsbacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$47.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-73.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+152.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+201.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+89.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.73
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+110%+$111.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$15.08
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+197.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+197.6%+$85.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.