NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd0892e14bfa772cbdd1ebe9116cacb5ba3c46a8a302d906173316dfa0601a39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 45c | 3,838$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,733.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 55c | 3,000$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 45c | 2,380$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.49 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 41c | 1,838$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.31 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 1,625$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 993.99$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.16 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 989.96$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.48 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 61c | 976.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.38 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 868.17$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.94 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 52c | 759.34$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.13 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 60c | 582.37$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.17 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 40c | 537.38$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.98 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 61c | 457.38$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.38 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 55c | 324.67$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…e89dbacked Over | 65c | 305.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Over | 70c | 287.73$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.08 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 57c | 279.66$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 35c | 257.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c1…0afebacked Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 58c | 222$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.9 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Under | 24c | 208.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 61c | 161$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…36bbbacked Under | 78c | 127.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 60c | 122$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 59c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 52c | 76.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 48c | 65.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 64.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…e8babacked Over | 62c | 64.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Over | 27c | 62.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5e…2d04backed Over | 60c | 61.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 40c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 52c | 56.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…6aa3backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 56c | 45.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c2…3fc7backed Over | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 38c | 34.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 163 | 69.9%114 W · 49 L | +18.6wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed Over | 63c | 30.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 54c | 30.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 156 | 62.8%98 W · 58 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked Under | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 54c | 27.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586e…2430backed Over | 72c | 25.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 52c | 23.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x107a…4c02backed Over | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Celtics vs. WarriorsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 210.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 211.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 212.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 213.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Moses Moody: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 24.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.