NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf41aa11b28905d96cae731de5e1119e53a51e96c470a6f2042f73128fa6ebf20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,767,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,964,271
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,767,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,089 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 33c | 472,238$155,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155,529.66 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Celtics | 66c | 245,462$163,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,401.81 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Celtics | 66c | 224,378$148,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,138.53 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Celtics | 67c | 211,046$141,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,645.1 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Warriors | 35c | 176,461$61,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,676.4 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Warriors | 33c | 122,080$40,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,786.27 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Celtics | 76c | 117,046$88,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,672 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Warriors | 33c | 99,610$32,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,871.22 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Celtics | 68c | 71,925$48,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,323.54 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Celtics | 66c | 70,000$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.98 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 34c | 66,385$22,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,520.27 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Celtics | 67c | 60,600$40,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,998 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Warriors | 43c | 60,398$26,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,066.47 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 67c | 58,235$39,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,217.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Warriors | 30c | 57,500$17,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,474.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Warriors | 34c | 40,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,600 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Celtics | 67c | 39,000$26,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,869.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 67c | 35,936$24,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,735.55 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…e243backed Celtics | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,900 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Warriors | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.98 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Warriors | 33c | 29,155$9,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,627.04 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…6305backed Warriors | 33c | 28,713$9,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,475.45 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Celtics | 67c | 26,825$17,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,857.37 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 11c | 26,331$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.83 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Warriors | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Warriors | 33c | 24,961$8,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,237.21 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Warriors | 33c | 22,991$7,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,586.96 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Warriors | 3c | 22,510$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.31 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Warriors | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Celtics | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Warriors | 12c | 20,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Celtics | 60c | 18,331$11,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,245.91 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 80c | 18,140$14,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,689.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 15c | 17,963$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.14 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 28c | 17,961$5,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,048.58 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Celtics | 79c | 17,277$13,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,632.36 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors | 1c | 16,836$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.89 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 23c | 16,755$3,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,903.13 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Celtics | 65c | 16,340$10,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,701.42 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Warriors | 1c | 16,082$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.1 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 2c | 15,970$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.84 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Warriors | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Warriors | 3c | 14,991$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.63 | 286 | 16.4%47 W · 239 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Warriors | 3c | 13,951$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.87 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics | 67c | 12,000$8,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,980.56 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Warriors | 34c | 11,176$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Celtics | 68c | 11,025$7,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.54 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Celtics | 68c | 10,783$7,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.16 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Celtics | 61c | 10,624$6,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.72 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Warriors | 1c | 10,147$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Celtics | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Warriors | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.91 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cf…d1e7backed Celtics | 67c | 8,503$5,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,775.69 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Celtics | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Warriors | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Celtics | 67c | 7,918$5,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.91 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Celtics | 66c | 7,888$5,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.94 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Celtics | 66c | 7,553$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.41 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 13c | 7,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Warriors | 33c | 7,335$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.31 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Celtics | 66c | 7,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Warriors | 34c | 6,947$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Warriors | 34c | 6,509$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Celtics | 67c | 6,492$4,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.36 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Warriors | 1c | 6,448$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Warriors | 28c | 6,375$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.54 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x632a…ac85backed Celtics | 67c | 6,337$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.09 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…5307backed Warriors | 34c | 6,337$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.45 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Celtics | 67c | 6,061$4,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.19 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Celtics | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Celtics | 66c | 5,945$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.14 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Warriors | 34c | 5,882$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Warriors | 40c | 5,696$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.46 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Warriors | 1c | 5,656$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Warriors | 33c | 5,555$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.13 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Celtics | 67c | 5,409$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.04 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Celtics | 67c | 5,168$3,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.55 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Warriors | 34c | 5,147$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.98 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Celtics | 69c | 5,101$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.79 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8000…3a21backed Warriors | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Warriors | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.97 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd606…9e01backed Warriors | 38c | 4,917$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Celtics | 67c | 4,874$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.24 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49e5…03fdbacked Warriors | 0c | 4,657$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…e546backed Celtics | 67c | 4,575$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.75 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…9bf7backed Warriors | 7c | 4,488$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.57 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…649fbacked Celtics | 67c | 4,478$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.61 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…a7c8backed Warriors | 34c | 4,412$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4530backed Celtics | 64c | 4,406$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.34 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 30c | 4,381$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Warriors | 33c | 4,200$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 40c | 4,175$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.37 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Warriors | 33c | 4,165$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.67 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Celtics | 67c | 4,129$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.43 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a7…1493backed Warriors | 6c | 4,107$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.46 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e44…0ac7backed Warriors | 33c | 4,100$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Warriors | 0c | 4,060$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Celtics | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Warriorsthis page
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 210.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 211.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 212.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 213.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Moses Moody: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 24.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.