NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1af048cabaac2b02f350681059d5c0a00a2903ae9dd3582c42926f8a823dfa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $453,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $551,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 48c | 229,606$110,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,197.31 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Celtics | 52c | 96,186$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,185.74 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked Celtics | 52c | 62,720$32,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,105.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…37bbbacked Warriors | 48c | 41,110$19,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,732.83 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Celtics | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.77 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Celtics | 52c | 14,404$7,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,913.92 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Celtics | 52c | 12,829$6,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,158.05 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Celtics | 52c | 10,606$5,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.88 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba64…4700backed Celtics | 52c | 7,344$3,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,525.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.98 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3739…4af0backed Celtics | 52c | 6,503$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…8e70backed Warriors | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -12.4wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Celtics | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.23 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0db…98e4backed Celtics | 52c | 5,590$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,683.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Celtics | 50c | 5,494$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.1 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…9e27backed Celtics | 52c | 5,457$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Celtics | 50c | 5,141$2,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.32 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Warriors | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2d…daffbacked Warriors | 48c | 4,721$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 52c | 4,646$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Warriors | 50c | 4,364$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics | 52c | 3,925$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf644…16c7backed Celtics | 52c | 3,744$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…fd5fbacked Warriors | 48c | 3,675$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Warriors | 50c | 3,637$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.5 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf07f…bdefbacked Celtics | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Warriors | 14c | 3,472$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Celtics | 52c | 3,441$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.93 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b68…5f13backed Celtics | 52c | 3,374$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…7aa9backed Celtics | 52c | 3,232$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Celtics | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c0…5025backed Warriors | 48c | 2,965$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…e386backed Celtics | 52c | 2,965$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.99 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…aaf9backed Celtics | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…b131backed Celtics | 52c | 2,396$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Celtics | 53c | 2,358$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.49 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…d7fabacked Celtics | 52c | 2,260$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98d…2b87backed Celtics | 52c | 2,170$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…c197backed Celtics | 52c | 2,135$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178a…c089backed Celtics | 52c | 2,090$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Celtics | 52c | 2,079$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.11 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82a…48c9backed Warriors | 48c | 1,969$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 49c | 1,882$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.45 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef6…87e9backed Warriors | 48c | 1,801$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702f…7b97backed Celtics | 52c | 1,801$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…8b79backed Warriors | 48c | 1,791$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Warriors | 51c | 1,769$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.39 | 78 | 48.7%38 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…69f1backed Warriors | 48c | 1,769$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd587…0ed2backed Warriors | 48c | 1,731$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics | 49c | 1,719$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.85 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Celtics | 51c | 1,709$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.41 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 48c | 1,700$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.31 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645c…21adbacked Warriors | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d53…29fabacked Warriors | 48c | 1,629$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…4ac5backed Celtics | 52c | 1,520$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…45cabacked Celtics | 52c | 1,380$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…b213backed Celtics | 52c | 1,257$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d7…968dbacked Celtics | 52c | 1,219$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Celtics | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.99 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Celtics | 52c | 1,046$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.28 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 51c | 1,038$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.17 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Warriors | 49c | 1,033$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.98 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Warriors | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Warriors | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178c…c807backed Celtics | 52c | 1,004$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Celtics | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Warriors | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.99 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…2f23backed Celtics | 52c | 953$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Celtics | 52c | 950$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ad…119bbacked Celtics | 52c | 929$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b2…79fcbacked Warriors | 48c | 840$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Warriors | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3262…9c95backed Celtics | 52c | 773$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Celtics | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde83…dbbbbacked Celtics | 52c | 660$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c4…845bbacked Celtics | 52c | 660$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Warriors | 49c | 649.1$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.06 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…356abacked Warriors | 48c | 646$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6d…5c6dbacked Celtics | 52c | 628$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors | 49c | 625.62$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.28 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…3f6abacked Warriors | 48c | 613$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 47c | 593.81$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…3448backed Celtics | 52c | 571$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…1448backed Warriors | 48c | 568$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…e997backed Celtics | 52c | 522$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Warriors | 58c | 518.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…3653backed Celtics | 52c | 516$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…6929backed Celtics | 52c | 511$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc40…b812backed Warriors | 48c | 511$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Celtics | 52c | 505.24$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Warriors | 51c | 486.87$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.3 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Celtics | 52c | 458.6$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.13 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Celtics | 50c | 438.33$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.17 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f89…4f68backed Celtics | 52c | 420$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Warriors | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 43c | 366.27$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae7…75e9backed Celtics | 52c | 366$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 47c | 352.04$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.78 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296a…031cbacked Celtics | 52c | 343$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)this page
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Celtics vs. WarriorsCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 210.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 211.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 212.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 213.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 214.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 221.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Moses Moody: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Nikola Vučević: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Sam Hauser: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- Stephen Curry: Points O/U 24.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.