TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe56d…2b65

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT7552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Suns (-16.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Spurs (-17.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,058.51
Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Spread: Raptors (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11,340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100%+$11,340
Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$410.25
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85%+$3,145.33
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,352Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,407.18
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,641.4
Pelicans vs. Knicks: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$960
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$489.18
Spread: Hawks (-12.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$6,358Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$6,108.67
Clippers vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$4,996.08
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+104%+$10,800.14
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$19,309.09
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$886.79
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$9,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,280
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$3,070
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16,000
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$5,091.67
Knicks vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$4,892.31
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$10,000
Bucks vs. Bulls: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,613Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,613
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,172
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Millwall FC vs. Derby County FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$556.84
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$9,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$9,325
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.2%+$5,744.44
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$34,290
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19,482Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15,307.29
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+86.9%+$13,900.55
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,906Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+88.2%+$5,210.28
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,059
Oxford United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$506
Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$503
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.8%+$4,727.1
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,716Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,716
Oxford United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+86.3%+$1,035.49
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,796Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,869.42
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,600
Capitals vs. Bluesbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,820
Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$4,090.91
Bruins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$4,079.25
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$5,000
Sabres vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$7,495Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+100%+$7,495
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9,607.84
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$9,280
Oilers vs. Flames: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$914.88
Wild vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$4,998
Panthers vs. Blackhawksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9,490.91
KHL: Spartak Moscow vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavlbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+61.2%+$305.84
Sabres vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,016Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$5,016
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48,274Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$49,419.71
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Louisiana Tech Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,903Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,903.37
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,885Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+110.9%+$4,310.19
Murray State Racers vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,877Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$2,877
Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-3.5)backed Hampton Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$2,005
UNCG Spartans vs. VMI Keydetsbacked UNCG Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+67.3%+$1,346.21
Toledo Rockets vs. Massachusetts Minutemen: O/U 164.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$752Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+93.2%+$701.17
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$840
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+69.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$514Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$514
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9,818.18
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10,673Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9,091.81
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$8,447Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$8,791.78
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$6,147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$6,931.72
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,460Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+100%+$3,460
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,170
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlas FC vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$1,146.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Delray Beach Open: Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruudbacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$1,039.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perth Glory FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,636Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,636
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.