TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,324

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,324 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings49c68,262$33,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,439.341,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kings49c44,926$22,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,013.921,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings49c30,144$14,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,770.784,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked 76ers50c23,980$11,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,99033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Kings50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00012639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed 76ers51c19,608$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,607.8416640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf488…4a52backed 76ers51c16,820$8,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,241.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc540…f7e5backed 76ers51c14,706$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,205.881741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed 76ers50c14,353$7,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,118.5731643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed 76ers51c12,637$6,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,192.2518749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed 76ers51c12,467$6,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,108.677552%39 W · 36 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked 76ers51c11,553$5,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,660.9448546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4111…54a7backed 76ers51c8,431$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,131.37580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0f8…12f7backed 76ers51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.145100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked 76ers51c7,040$3,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,449.4517550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Kings50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers50c6,639$3,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,319.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed 76ers51c6,507$3,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,188.575754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed 76ers51c5,686$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.2716249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29bf…a448backed Kings49c5,621$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.29450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers50c5,558$2,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,776.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed 76ers51c5,412$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.7621943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked 76ers51c4,118$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.6538946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed 76ers50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed 76ers50c3,478$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,73970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Kings50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8912…110dbacked 76ers51c2,190$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.14100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings49c2,121$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.1979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed 76ers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00057950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Kings50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings49c1,997$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.423,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 76ers52c1,978$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.245,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked 76ers51c1,971$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.5924450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed 76ers51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.788647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers50c1,857$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.32,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01a…81b9backed 76ers51c1,854$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.46450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Kings48c1,783$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.711,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4d…22abbacked 76ers51c1,577$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.73450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Kings50c1,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f85…7eeebacked 76ers51c1,455$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.9837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d61…303dbacked 76ers51c1,410$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.810556.2%59 W · 46 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65c5…c3f2backed 76ers51c1,322$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.57944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked 76ers50c1,311$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.5528554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed 76ers51c1,248$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.8910651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Kings50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7affbacked 76ers51c999.99$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.991546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings50c905.51$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.794,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Kings49c877.55$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Kings49c829$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.2154443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed 76ers58c690.18$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.1920638.3%79 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed 76ers51c669.36$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9928751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Kings50c556.78$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.3922154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Kings50c534$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2672236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed 76ers65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17556154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kings50c496$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24871449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Kings50c493$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.514145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers51c436.69$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.192,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Kings50c433.51$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.99845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed 76ers49c399.35$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.679558.9%56 W · 39 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed 76ers51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1628554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Kings42c390.6$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4351438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked 76ers51c331.61$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.4958450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Kings51c313.73$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Kings49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14710645.3%48 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Kings51c282.86$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2633837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9737…09c1backed Kings50c278$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1394240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed 76ers51c274.51$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.5152146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Kings50c260$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13077549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Kings50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d3…8acebacked 76ers51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.54740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kings44c226.75$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.62,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Kings51c207.84$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed 76ers51c196.08$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Kings49c196$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.041,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked 76ers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3132952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Kings56c179.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed 76ers66c171.7$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3890957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked 76ers51c152.44$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.719650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Kings50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514452.1%75 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed 76ers51c143.7$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.153,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1664…9c6dbacked 76ers77c141.06$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Kings50c141$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.513148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77a7…bb11backed Kings50c141$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.55054%27 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb81f…2fd6backed Kings50c141$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.54443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c48…6af3backed Kings50c132.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.047445.9%34 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Kings42c123.81$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5291846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Kings50c122$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6113950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…8ddabacked Kings50c122$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615180.4%41 W · 10 L+9.7wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+33%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed 76ers50c118.66$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3317144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Kings49c115.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6523446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked 76ers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4940541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked 76ers52c96.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4211348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked 76ers50c76.77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3949249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed 76ers50c75.48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.011,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Kings50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357847.4%37 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed 76ers72c69.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5952760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d9…a600backed Kings50c64.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.481855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.