TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x82d9…a600

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.96
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$42.07
Spread: Raptors (-1.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$35.66
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$18.38
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.18
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.72
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.98
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.6
Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$22.53
Spread: Pelicans (-2.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$36.42
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$22.85
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.91
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.59
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$20.42
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.22
Suns vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 116.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$17.51
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alicante: Marco Cecchinato vs Dusan Lajovicbacked Dusan Lajovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Forti vs. Kopriva: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.17
Miami Open: Reilly Opelka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$31.13
Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Arthur Geabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$21.89
Murcia: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.53
Miami Open: Talia Gibson vs Naomi Osakabacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$91.08
Miami Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Belinda Bencicbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.24
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.19
Miami Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taylor Fritzbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.59
Anna Kalinskaya vs. Anastasia Zakharova: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$24.72
Set 1 Winner: Ajdukovic vs Dodigbacked Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.23
Duje Ajdukovic vs. Matej Dodig: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.33
Zadar: Duje Ajdukovic vs Matej Dodigbacked Duje Ajdukovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.75
Miami Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Miami Open: Emilio Nava vs Tomas Machacbacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Set 1 Winner: Nava vs Machacbacked Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.15
Cilic vs. Popyrin: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.77
All 17 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$41.31
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$25.62
Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-2.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.78
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.97
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.73
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-21.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-9.5)backed McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.83
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-8.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.67
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+43.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.43
Forca Lleida CE vs. Joventutbacked Joventut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$91.03
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Xinjiang Flying Tigersbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44%+$11.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$17.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs Game Hunters - Map 1 Winnerbacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.