Euroleague · resolved market
Forca Lleida CE vs. Joventut
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9f1e06ed430ed37bf1d1448af9bb461ce723ed6b648826dd17bfb35ebd21233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joventutof Forca Lleida CE, Joventut
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,076 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Forca Lleida CE | 37c | 559.74$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.04 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Joventut | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Joventut | 50c | 156.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed Joventut | 35c | 140.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Forca Lleida CE | 34c | 109.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…2d59backed Joventut | 22c | 102.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Forca Lleida CE | 32c | 99.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Joventut | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Joventut | 68c | 63.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…05ecbacked Joventut | 36c | 55.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Joventut | 67c | 46.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Forca Lleida CE | 57c | 32.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Joventut | 67c | 29.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Forca Lleida CE | 63c | 28.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Forca Lleida CE | 73c | 21.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf79…796ebacked Joventut | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…31a4backed Joventut | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.