TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,908 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over52c43,498$22,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,618.866248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c31,961$15,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,569.164,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c31,899$15,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,229.731,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Over52c30,000$15,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,599.9843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c25,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.911,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under49c19,792$9,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,171.51,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c10,576$5,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,437.819,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Under50c9,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50017348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c6,511$3,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3682,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Under48c6,112$2,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,178.243857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over50c3,852$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92631643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over49c3,520$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over49c3,356$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.1970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c1,646$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.754,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under48c1,503$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.562,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c1,484$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.883,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over51c1,176$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Over51c1,110$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.110251%52 W · 50 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under48c1,089$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.4358450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Under48c1,021$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.839352.7%49 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53021247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c784$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under50c756.05$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.0316953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over50c627.84$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.9222752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30680653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…9baebacked Under48c573.13$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.0313554.1%73 W · 62 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under51c507.84$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.8447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443d…017fbacked Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25023550.2%118 W · 117 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over50c485.08$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.5422154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x353e…9db2backed Over34c482.99$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.225738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under66c467.66$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1591,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under52c451.92$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.9213155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over18c426.02$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c415.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.222,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over53c361.53$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6189048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over51c355.39$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.2565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x190f…01f3backed Over50c320$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609150.5%46 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over51c297$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.417850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under49c276.41$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5423446.2%108 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over51c274.51$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c271.3$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.023,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10632450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3148948.5%237 W · 252 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Under47c173.38$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8910645.3%48 W · 58 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over52c160$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.21,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb11f…f01cbacked Over49c153.23$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over50c150.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under51c149.08$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2734849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b89…f3a9backed Over50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Over51c129.41$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6632148.3%155 W · 166 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over38c110.31$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4551438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over50c109.68$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8410748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83fe…23d9backed Over49c107.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.915036%18 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Under52c104.17$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4920350.2%102 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under49c103.68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8467…ac1cbacked Under49c101.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.02450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5155533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6bd…09c9backed Over49c99.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.991844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd815…1cdebacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.158456%47 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.687049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Over51c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.79958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c01…8c6cbacked Under48c68.46$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.62437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a37…180cbacked Over53c60.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.123452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82d9…a600backed Over53c56.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.911855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over53c52$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5667248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over28c49.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.573,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over48c48.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2778648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf644…a9afbacked Over53c47.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8427345.1%123 W · 150 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under48c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8432747.4%155 W · 172 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over49c39.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5996956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf9…d796backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Under48c36.42$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.948344.6%37 W · 46 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under48c34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Under53c31.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.720949.3%103 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abc…b096backed Over53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.911243.8%49 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under50c28.35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.181,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2332752.9%173 W · 154 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c662backed Over53c25.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.611258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under50c24.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1291746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9651…0488backed Over51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126245.2%28 W · 34 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under48c22.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.721,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Over51c21.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0925245.2%114 W · 138 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde2…3fcfbacked Under50c20.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.478956.2%50 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Under57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.645544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under74c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.343,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.