NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x678f670a5c7afb268cd5f48b166ebc4730a39460dd59cbd4f92a8d43fb8ff44f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,442 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 52c | 27,650$14,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,378.26 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 48c | 17,335$8,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,028.02 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 52c | 10,436$5,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,426.72 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 6,436$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430.91 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 6,164$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…7b8fbacked Over | 51c | 4,515$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…4605backed Under | 48c | 4,342$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,257.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…19f3backed Over | 51c | 4,001$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37fd…0b3abacked Under | 51c | 3,919$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…f27ebacked Over | 49c | 3,918$1,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf75f…8345backed Over | 51c | 3,611$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…2f25backed Under | 48c | 3,600$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 3,052$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 3,034$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.97 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 54c | 2,683$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.98 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 2,562$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.71 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463a…ee79backed Over | 51c | 2,526$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa322…2082backed Under | 49c | 2,511$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb134…0da7backed Under | 49c | 2,351$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dde…bcfcbacked Over | 51c | 2,330$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb50…20e5backed Under | 49c | 2,141$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…03a0backed Under | 49c | 2,001$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b5…86b0backed Under | 49c | 1,988$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…c16abacked Over | 51c | 1,975$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 54c | 1,968$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.72 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe072…a89ebacked Under | 49c | 1,943$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…7898backed Over | 51c | 1,942$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61c…9c36backed Over | 51c | 1,874$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 1,845$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.52 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 55c | 1,835$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.51 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…9af6backed Under | 49c | 1,809$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…fd80backed Under | 49c | 1,802$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c4…423cbacked Over | 51c | 1,780$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…3b03backed Under | 49c | 1,773$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec4…abd6backed Over | 51c | 1,728$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…3695backed Under | 49c | 1,711$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5e…3006backed Under | 49c | 1,663$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…582abacked Under | 49c | 1,645$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 52c | 1,587$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28cc…16d5backed Under | 49c | 1,581$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…7535backed Under | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…b0f6backed Over | 51c | 1,507$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298a…545dbacked Under | 49c | 1,485$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 47c | 1,472$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.42 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…9852backed Under | 49c | 1,332$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…182dbacked Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63f…94f8backed Over | 51c | 1,179$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b9…f7d8backed Over | 51c | 1,175$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…d1e7backed Over | 51c | 1,121$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Over | 55c | 1,004$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.28 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 48c | 939.58$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.58 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Over | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6621…fab6backed Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 277 | 46.6%129 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e5…37a1backed Under | 49c | 609$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 595.51$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.76 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 48c | 583.33$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 577.06$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…10d3backed Under | 49c | 523$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…8acebacked Over | 51c | 421.57$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8453backed Under | 49c | 418$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…e06fbacked Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Under | 48c | 374.17$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.57 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…2a5ebacked Under | 49c | 335$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 55c | 302.78$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.53 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 293.82$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.92 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 245$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.4 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 55c | 242.25$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.24 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…ce06backed Under | 49c | 235$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Under | 47c | 234.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 52c | 179.55$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.36 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…45eabacked Under | 50c | 178$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 52c | 170.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 68c | 169$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…2781backed Under | 49c | 164$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 48c | 159.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab8…e3d1backed Under | 50c | 154$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb1…4823backed Under | 50c | 154$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 55c | 151.93$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.56 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 53c | 150.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6f…333bbacked Under | 50c | 148$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…cde2backed Under | 50c | 142$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 55c | 139.09$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 47c | 130.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.54 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 48c | 124.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…f9cfbacked Over | 51c | 123$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Wizards won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. WizardsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 220.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.