NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ac4b40fe3cfb4ad19e79806e711d6fc35e5eab580b95b9f6fe7197e8a354b10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,751,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,751,520 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9557…7136backed Wizards | 9c | 220,758$18,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,826.62 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Wizards | 10c | 158,854$15,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,416.13 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Wizards | 10c | 100,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Wizards | 9c | 80,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Wizards | 10c | 57,947$5,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,593.14 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb961…66c7backed Wizards | 0c | 42,380$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Wizards | 9c | 30,835$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.18 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Wizards | 9c | 30,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards | 1c | 27,206$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Wizards | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards | 6c | 17,793$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.8 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…008ebacked Wizards | 7c | 16,167$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…a33dbacked Wizards | 1c | 16,000$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 109 | 14.7%16 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wizards | 9c | 13,333$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 10c | 13,226$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.91 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Wizards | 11c | 12,758$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards | 7c | 12,613$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.07 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards | 1c | 12,363$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.38 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…479fbacked Wizards | 9c | 11,986$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.83 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 6c | 10,718$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.8 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards | 10c | 10,006$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wizards | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Wizards | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Wizards | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Wizards | 9c | 9,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Wizards | 6c | 9,337$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.5 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Wizards | 9c | 9,166$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 4c | 8,313$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.92 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Wizards | 11c | 8,073$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards | 7c | 7,995$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.95 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Wizards | 7c | 7,434$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.48 | 423 | 35.9%152 W · 271 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e33…5825backed Wizards | 3c | 7,194$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…0c61backed Wizards | 0c | 6,362$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…b63bbacked Wizards | 11c | 6,100$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Wizards | 10c | 5,618$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.75 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Wizards | 9c | 5,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…0f2bbacked Wizards | 9c | 5,490$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.1 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…8787backed Wizards | 9c | 5,363$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 3c | 5,080$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.83 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 11c | 5,050$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…7056backed Wizards | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Wizards | 7c | 4,837$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.12 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards | 9c | 4,712$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.04 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89c…398fbacked Wizards | 11c | 4,342$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.6 | 125 | 24.8%31 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 2c | 4,258$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards | 6c | 4,071$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.28 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked Wizards | 2c | 4,037$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Wizards | 6c | 4,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Wizards | 13c | 3,964$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…e691backed Wizards | 1c | 3,949$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wizards | 7c | 3,682$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d2…8819backed Wizards | 11c | 3,400$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Wizards | 4c | 3,212$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards | 0c | 3,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards | 10c | 3,146$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.61 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Wizards | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 243 | 23.9%58 W · 185 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…0cd4backed Wizards | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb714…eb1bbacked Wizards | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…5a77backed Wizards | 10c | 2,850$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…cc7cbacked Wizards | 9c | 2,750$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Wizards | 8c | 2,711$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.49 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wizards | 9c | 2,444$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.52 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Wizards | 10c | 2,350$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Wizards | 11c | 2,309$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0792…2297backed Wizards | 7c | 2,144$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.01 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 8c | 2,000$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Wizards | 9c | 2,000$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Wizards | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…4ddcbacked Wizards | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…7235backed Wizards | 6c | 2,000$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Wizards | 2c | 1,982$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Wizards | 9c | 1,970$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Wizards | 8c | 1,726$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.77 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Wizards | 8c | 1,710$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Wizards | 13c | 1,695$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.33 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards | 6c | 1,621$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards | 10c | 1,526$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.86 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Wizards | 8c | 1,511$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.21 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18c…eceabacked Wizards | 11c | 1,309$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d15…e9debacked Wizards | 10c | 1,300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Wizards | 11c | 1,069$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Wizards | 10c | 1,018$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 323 | 30.7%99 W · 224 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc354…5800backed Wizards | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bc…2450backed Wizards | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854a…4d69backed Wizards | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…fdb5backed Wizards | 7c | 999.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 224 | 23.7%53 W · 171 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…b062backed Wizards | 10c | 999.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 548 | 38%208 W · 340 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136c…6b91backed Wizards | 8c | 999.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.97 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Wizards | 10c | 997.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.98 | 331 | 39.3%130 W · 201 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0689…9171backed Wizards | 8c | 965.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Wizards | 10c | 960$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Wizards | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 101 | 30.7%31 W · 70 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…5602backed Wizards | 11c | 875.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Wizards | 10c | 867.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Wizards | 11c | 860.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…ffc4backed Wizards | 5c | 851.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Wizards | 11c | 810$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 265 | 30.9%82 W · 183 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Wizardsthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Wizards won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 220.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.