NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-15.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ae72cc8adc5bd870edd921b9bd70f658924c4947d57a1cabc237722044233f5

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pistonsof Pistons, Wizards
Resolved: Mar 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $472,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $472,458 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Pistons	47c	257,930$120,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137,075.16	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wizards	53c	134,445$71,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71,255.86	662	48.5%321 W · 341 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wizards	53c	62,024$32,954 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,954.37	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Pistons	45c	57,325$25,796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,528.94	231	47.6%110 W · 121 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards	53c	23,089$12,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,213.75	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0936…6c02backed Wizards	55c	14,725$8,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,099	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Wizards	55c	13,136$7,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,220	492	46.3%228 W · 264 L	-15.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Wizards	55c	12,767$7,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,022	348	54%188 W · 160 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Wizards	54c	12,000$6,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,480	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards	53c	9,861$5,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,274.96	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Wizards	54c	9,391$5,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,106.73	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons	47c	7,456$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,955.56	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Wizards	55c	6,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Wizards	54c	5,926$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,200	248	47.6%118 W · 130 L	-6.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Wizards	58c	5,902$3,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,402.48	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Wizards	52c	5,404$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,799.93	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Wizards	54c	4,563$2,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,466	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Wizards	54c	3,878$2,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,094	187	49.2%92 W · 95 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Wizards	54c	3,704$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ff8…a2cabacked Pistons	45c	3,645$1,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,004.73	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Wizards	55c	3,273$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	137	50.4%69 W · 68 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Pistons	46c	3,261$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,760.87	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons	49c	3,182$1,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,631.13	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Wizards	54c	3,000$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Wizards	53c	2,809$1,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,495.12	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d79…2391backed Wizards	56c	2,475$1,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,386	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a9…54f7backed Pistons	46c	2,460$1,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,328.4	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d4…dc47backed Wizards	54c	2,442$1,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,318.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b0…4229backed Pistons	44c	2,441$1,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,366.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4129…3df9backed Pistons	46c	2,439$1,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,317.06	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa478…b871backed Pistons	50c	2,435$1,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,217.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb899…0e45backed Pistons	45c	2,428$1,093 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,335.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x998e…bd07backed Pistons	44c	2,413$1,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.17	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+119.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Wizards	55c	2,375$1,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,306.25	169	53.3%90 W · 79 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Wizards	55c	2,364$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	79	51.9%41 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaf8…42d5backed Pistons	45c	2,304$1,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,267.2	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6af3…5536backed Wizards	54c	2,284$1,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,233.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f68…25d0backed Wizards	55c	2,282$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260.25	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5132…af03backed Pistons	46c	2,260$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,220.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd722…c01abacked Wizards	50c	2,254$1,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Wizards	54c	2,250$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,215	142	45.8%65 W · 77 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a41…f555backed Pistons	46c	2,153$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,162.62	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6229…4f4abacked Pistons	50c	2,135$1,068 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,067.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8fa…ba12backed Pistons	50c	2,119$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,059.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed8c…07febacked Wizards	54c	2,097$1,132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,132.38	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…93d0backed Wizards	50c	2,082$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,041	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75fd…9f9cbacked Wizards	50c	2,042$1,021 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,021	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40f1…5b9fbacked Wizards	50c	2,039$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Pistons	46c	2,038$939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,098.75	181	43.1%78 W · 103 L	-12.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Wizards	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.92	877	50.2%440 W · 437 L	-19.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Pistons	74c	2,000$1,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$520.05	147	66%97 W · 50 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d62…bcdcbacked Wizards	54c	1,996$1,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,077.84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Wizards	55c	1,981$1,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,088	389	46%179 W · 210 L	-13.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfea4…19e1backed Wizards	54c	1,960$1,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.4	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons	46c	1,951$895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.14	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Pistons	48c	1,950$942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,008.47	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed7…8051backed Wizards	54c	1,933$1,044 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,043.82	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a2…de22backed Wizards	56c	1,932$1,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.55per pick	55cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons	56c	1,912$1,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$847.26	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Pistons	46c	1,903$870 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,032.85	152	40.8%62 W · 90 L	-12.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards	52c	1,900$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.5	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Wizards	55c	1,879$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.17	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba1…f4f6backed Wizards	56c	1,871$1,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047.76	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe72a…824dbacked Pistons	50c	1,795$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$897.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Wizards	51c	1,793$914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914.29	166	35.5%59 W · 107 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc452…99f9backed Pistons	44c	1,757$773 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$983.92	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa283…268dbacked Pistons	46c	1,732$797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$935.28	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…3643backed Wizards	50c	1,729$873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872.74	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Wizards	55c	1,724$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.43	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1f3…9be5backed Pistons	46c	1,668$767 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92f4…c3f8backed Wizards	55c	1,665$916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$915.75	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ce2…80e6backed Pistons	50c	1,652$826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$826	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Pistons	45c	1,633$734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.45	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x663a…1662backed Pistons	50c	1,570$785 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Wizards	55c	1,567$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.85	99	52.5%52 W · 47 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0284…2ee2backed Wizards	50c	1,560$780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Pistons	46c	1,525$703 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$822.71	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf2…360cbacked Wizards	56c	1,511$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844.05	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Pistons	47c	1,300$614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$686	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons	47c	1,299$611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$688.61	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d41…8008backed Wizards	54c	1,250$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2d…a88dbacked Pistons	64c	1,248$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.44	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	-7.7wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8fe6backed Pistons	46c	1,030$474 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.36	62	61.3%38 W · 24 L	+7.6wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Wizards	54c	1,029$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.66	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Wizards	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	87	47.1%41 W · 46 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97d3…8acebacked Wizards	55c	781.82$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Wizards	54c	763$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.02	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-3.6wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Wizards	54c	611.11$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Wizards	54c	611$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.94	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards	54c	557.78$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.58	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Wizards	54c	555.56$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Wizards	54c	548$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.92	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Wizards	54c	518.54$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.01	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wizards	53c	516.66$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.62	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Pistons	45c	500$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Wizards	55c	491.32$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.23	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Pistons	49c	401.08$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.65	421	53%223 W · 198 L	+23.3wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards	55c	400$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	807	37.7%304 W · 503 L	-33.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Wizards	54c	398.15$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-4.9wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x89f3…dc13backed Pistons	44c	393$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pistons (-15.5)this page
1H Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Wizards won
Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 12.5No won
Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5No won
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
Pistons vs. WizardsPistons won
Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylinePistons won
Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 220.5Under won
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Under won
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Under won
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Under won
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Under won
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Under won
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Under won
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Pistons won
Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-15.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event