NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab1220a61f4aa18178cafc318c591b6666b3b34257b034ced2d67313db808ffa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,640 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Wizards | 48c | 23,986$11,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,513.06 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons | 52c | 11,442$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,491.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons | 52c | 10,567$5,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,082.19 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 57c | 4,999$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.16 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Wizards | 50c | 4,263$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.15 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wizards | 45c | 1,825$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.2 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 51c | 1,815$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 70c | 1,444$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 44c | 1,370$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 52c | 1,342$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.1 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Wizards | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Wizards | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cea…55dfbacked Wizards | 38c | 1,006$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Pistons | 50c | 1,001$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Pistons | 54c | 930.08$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.07 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14f…7d8dbacked Pistons | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wizards | 36c | 609.54$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.22 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Wizards | 9c | 600$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wizards | 46c | 599.96$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.98 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Pistons | 55c | 539.16$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.05 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Wizards | 47c | 533.98$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.97 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…0efbbacked Wizards | 48c | 521.21$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.18 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Pistons | 50c | 513$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.59 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Wizards | 48c | 418.75$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Pistons | 61c | 414.36$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.9 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…53e7backed Wizards | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…855fbacked Pistons | 54c | 396.83$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.54 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wizards | 53c | 372.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pistons | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pistons | 78c | 342.36$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Wizards | 14c | 308.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Wizards | 53c | 299.56$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.39 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4819…c342backed Pistons | 70c | 289.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wizards | 47c | 272.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.29 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 52c | 262.24$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.88 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…f36dbacked Pistons | 54c | 260$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 35c | 252.95$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Pistons | 54c | 240.85$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.81 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a7…2c03backed Pistons | 77c | 226.09$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Wizards | 26c | 215.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Wizards | 30c | 214.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Wizards | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 403 | 44.4%179 W · 224 L | -23.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Pistons | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Wizards | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Wizards | 46c | 194.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Pistons | 59c | 187.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.65 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Pistons | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 45c | 161.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.76 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Wizards | 52c | 155$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Pistons | 63c | 155$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.08 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Pistons | 50c | 143.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Pistons | 70c | 143.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Pistons | 70c | 140.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Wizards | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d18…fd1bbacked Pistons | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 37c | 117.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Pistons | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…0426backed Pistons | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Pistons | 65c | 100.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Pistons | 54c | 89.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Wizards | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Wizards | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Wizards | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Pistons | 49c | 77.24$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Wizards | 24c | 76.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed Pistons | 54c | 76.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 432 | 69.2%299 W · 133 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…ca5dbacked Pistons | 67c | 74.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pistons | 56c | 73.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pistons | 54c | 70.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…70c5backed Pistons | 67c | 69.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 68cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Pistons | 54c | 68.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards | 46c | 67.43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 48c | 66.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Wizards | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pistons | 53c | 63.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wizards | 35c | 58.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Pistons | 54c | 52.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Wizards | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Pistons | 53c | 50.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 182 | 42.9%78 W · 104 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…3615backed Wizards | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Wizards | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Pistons | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pistons | 55c | 49.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c48…6af3backed Pistons | 53c | 46.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Wizards | 44c | 45.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wizards | 33c | 42.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…1f08backed Wizards | 45c | 40.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Wizards | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Pistons | 79c | 33.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 369 | 49.6%183 W · 186 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Pistons | 59c | 33.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Wizards | 44c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d20…6d2bbacked Pistons | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pistons | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2841…3c5abacked Wizards | 45c | 27.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 213 | 49.3%105 W · 108 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29b…6012backed Wizards | 44c | 23.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked Pistons | 57c | 22.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Pistons | 79c | 20.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Pistons | 78c | 16.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Wizards won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Pistons vs. WizardsPistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 220.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 225.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 229.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.