TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf33e…855f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
111
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+58%+$231.91
Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$21.5
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.26
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Devin Booker: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$40.55
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.17
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.24
Spread: Clippers (-3.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$52.84
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Spread: Raptors (-10.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Spread: Magic (-12.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Magic (-13.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$33.31
Spread: 76ers (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$275.46
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$146.14
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.63
Spread: Pistons (-13.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$182.54
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-58.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.94
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.13
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.84
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.14
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.31
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-68%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+71.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)backed Real Betis Balompié · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$120.49
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$36.96
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)backed Ferencvárosi TC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$125.54
All 4 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick31cpaid+63.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+178.5%+$35.69
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$32.7
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+135.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$20.43
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$61.38
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Toulouse FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.43
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)backed Olympique de Marseille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Nacional vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+70.7%+$25.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.