TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$140,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans47c19,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Pelicans45c18,500$8,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,324.9818151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pistons53c15,531$8,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,299.7260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons52c12,000$6,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,759.981,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans47c10,941$5,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,144.634,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Pelicans51c9,753$4,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,974.091,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Pistons55c9,722$5,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,375.0836351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pelicans48c8,333$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Pelicans50c8,142$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0711,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Pistons62c6,529$4,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,458.82,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons52c6,103$3,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.534,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons52c5,896$3,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,807.891,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…8eaebacked Pistons55c5,152$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,318.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa827…dcc2backed Pistons55c4,460$2,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Pelicans48c4,101$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.595754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Pistons51c3,941$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,931.185437%20 W · 34 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans47c3,824$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pistons51c3,243$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.273,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Pelicans51c3,241$1,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.922948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Pistons49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Pistons52c2,924$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.7357950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Pelicans48c2,812$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans44c2,746$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.083,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans45c2,499$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.464,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Pistons52c2,383$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1441,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Pistons57c2,301$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.381861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Pistons49c2,200$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12235749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pelicans47c2,157$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.626,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Pistons55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90087049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Pistons54c1,834$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.6317050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Pelicans50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80021152.6%111 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Pistons51c1,541$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.0144352.4%232 W · 211 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Pelicans50c1,380$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.7920647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Pelicans30c1,325$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.8926337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pistons50c1,100$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Pelicans50c864.05$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.771,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Pelicans51c769.23$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.3192058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Pistons55c755$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.7527455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Pistons65c613.93$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9320963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6900…b6c2backed Pistons49c612.63$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.421361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Pistons52c542.28$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.032,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Pistons48c520$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.635849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Pistons49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2552,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Pistons50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Pistons49c461.16$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9878648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Pelicans40c425.88$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.832,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Pelicans45c423.2$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4437842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons50c422.34$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.472,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Pelicans51c407.83$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2256447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Pistons55c388$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.61,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Pistons57c380.7$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.75158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Pistons53c356.12$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.8489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Pistons50c336.66$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.3320352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Pelicans51c333.92$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.389853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Pelicans48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14476552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Pistons49c300$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Pelicans48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14438740.3%156 W · 231 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Pistons50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Pistons55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Pistons54c243.84$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.1742352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Pistons52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.223435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Pelicans47c239.48$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.563056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x573e…e08abacked Pistons57c230.61$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.162733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Pistons51c200.07$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.671,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x743a…ddcdbacked Pistons49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026043.3%26 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Pistons50c196.07$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.049045.6%41 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Pistons50c196$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9816849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce0…f955backed Pistons52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x354f…95f8backed Pistons53c188.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.988763.2%55 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Pelicans47c186.88$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.41,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52c6…564dbacked Pistons54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.194254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Pistons54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1919054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Pistons56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.225550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Pistons57c179.89$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2287744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Pelicans46c179.53$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8348152%250 W · 231 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Pistons52c175.71$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3426345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Pistons56c164.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.659144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pistons52c164.34$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.491,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Pistons54c163.06$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0151647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…855fbacked Pelicans50c161.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Pelicans49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753070%21 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Pelicans45c152.17$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7822048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Pistons50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Pistons54c149.33$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6930453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Pistons55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4581845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Pistons54c145.06$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5857650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Pistons53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5133251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d20…6d2bbacked Pelicans46c130.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01dc…183ebacked Pelicans48c130.25$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.226734.3%23 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2942…a018backed Pistons54c125.93$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9323143.3%100 W · 131 L-13.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Pistons54c115$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.926756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Pistons53c114.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6322552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed Pelicans44c113.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017848.3%86 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727b…0426backed Pelicans45c111.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Pelicans49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Pistons55c102$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7411543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Pelicans41c100.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.58134.6%28 W · 53 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Pistons54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4684150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked Pistons52c96.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.52060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76b8…7367backed Pistons52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.154854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.