TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x321d…d0ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
154
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Middle East at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT12462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: TT (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$192.86
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.2%+$283.93
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.5
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$125.86
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$121.86
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$278
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$40.21
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.14
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.89
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.27
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.85
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.87
Spread: Pelicans (-5.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
Spread: Magic (-6.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Spread: Raptors (-11.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.47
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Celtics (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+93%+$46.5
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$56.7
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$39.23
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+545.2%+$78.59
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.