TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof Team Falcons, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,211,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,421,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,211,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 719 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x88d1…18dabacked Team Falcons73c149,525$108,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,564.722354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a5c…a375backed 9z34c127,192$43,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,361.455238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked Team Falcons75c41,875$31,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,525.487054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked 9z17c37,099$6,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,797.541040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b8…09e5backed 9z15c29,268$4,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,877.411145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed 9z46c28,122$12,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,193.2350054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed 9z40c27,750$11,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,541.3333343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed 9z34c24,790$8,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,248.188242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked 9z39c21,511$8,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,137.523,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked 9z23c20,054$4,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,383.6316245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked Team Falcons67c19,508$13,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,096.383778.4%29 W · 8 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked 9z67c18,625$12,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,190.1122468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Team Falcons37c17,178$6,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,281.3430340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons61c16,019$9,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,718.4376058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed 9z38c15,777$5,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,833.6123852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked 9z15c14,999$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,748.9375652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed Team Falcons10c14,667$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.2128056.4%158 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x733b…7260backed Team Falcons73c13,628$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 9z8c12,514$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,508.095,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed 9z14c12,171$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,467.062462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons53c11,206$5,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,957.2325555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Team Falcons58c10,665$6,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,230.2227658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Team Falcons63c10,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.9619757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed 9z30c9,000$2,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,331.9288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Team Falcons61c8,438$5,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,153.210739.3%42 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 9z33c7,795$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.771,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed 9z29c7,567$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,376.5764552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked 9z13c7,505$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,500.7863541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked 9z24c7,420$1,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,674.5911249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed 9z11c6,802$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,051.7532732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 9z34c6,744$2,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,432.861,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Team Falcons79c6,500$5,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,103.8311758.1%68 W · 49 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Team Falcons55c6,085$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,349.9817357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed 9z24c6,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,56042651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x983c…ac7cbacked Team Falcons31c5,832$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.851952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Team Falcons66c5,800$3,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,816.9438954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked 9z16c5,670$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,762.4447147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc778…8d85backed Team Falcons76c5,444$4,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1363053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked 9z28c5,233$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,751.2632542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Team Falcons30c5,173$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.0610044%44 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6e…fa6fbacked 9z38c5,148$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,191.6316248.1%78 W · 84 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked 9z42c5,116$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.2959839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed 9z38c5,000$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,125.0111439.5%45 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed 9z16c5,000$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,211.921,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe2b…20e4backed Team Falcons43c4,780$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.219635.4%34 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 9z43c4,558$1,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,579.582,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked 9z40c4,500$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.9984454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 9z48c4,341$2,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.936,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecee…a577backed 9z36c4,259$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.028226.8%22 W · 60 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 9z33c4,256$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,872.321,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked 9z15c4,200$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5701,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed 9z13c4,032$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,507.514252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…a1f1backed Team Falcons62c4,025$2,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.221428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked Team Falcons64c3,955$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.258324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 9z13c3,858$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.455,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x932c…8658backed Team Falcons15c3,716$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.457243.1%31 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Falcons59c3,529$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.3966446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3317…e838backed Team Falcons63c3,475$2,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,189.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked 9z28c3,426$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,456.2215838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Falcons73c3,386$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.0412871.9%92 W · 36 L+16.8wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+20.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Team Falcons60c3,312$1,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,98739157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked 9z15c3,291$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.340140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed 9z34c3,268$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.987047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x928a…8044backed Team Falcons56c3,250$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.5620358.6%119 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Team Falcons66c3,139$2,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,073.577247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed 9z16c3,125$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,62511435.1%40 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ff…0852backed 9z14c3,123$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,673.0820445.6%93 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked 9z38c3,107$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.047441.9%31 W · 43 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5c…e7d1backed Team Falcons67c3,058$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked 9z15c3,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5501,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e2…41b6backed Team Falcons44c3,000$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked 9z13c3,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.961,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed 9z38c2,950$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,82941847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5903…d02bbacked 9z37c2,936$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,849.935230.8%16 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed 9z16c2,903$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.5520249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed 9z45c2,786$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.811,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Team Falcons56c2,781$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.5215255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 9z43c2,700$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5391,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ee…e28cbacked Team Falcons33c2,699$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8908848.9%43 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Team Falcons75c2,619$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.0827552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Team Falcons77c2,597$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011253.6%60 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed 9z14c2,584$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,227.4748240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked 9z18c2,538$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.165444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked 9z24c2,513$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.5169624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9597…efcabacked 9z37c2,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5751346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked 9z14c2,483$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,139.749753.6%52 W · 45 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f4…3eacbacked Team Falcons23c2,432$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.05922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-67.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed 9z17c2,400$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,99212426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed 9z15c2,251$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.9697040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0352…86b0backed 9z38c2,249$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.21353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+48%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Team Falcons45c2,219$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.2333452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed 9z19c2,160$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.130335.6%108 W · 195 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked 9z63c2,097$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.5346165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Team Falcons34c2,076$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020755.1%114 W · 93 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed 9z16c2,051$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.5517045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Team Falcons70c2,002$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.2715441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 9z14c2,000$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,73019543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed Team Falcons60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2006126.2%16 W · 45 L-9.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3b21…4b63backed Team Falcons51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02011947.9%57 W · 62 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 9z23c2,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.9778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.