CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a841930556dc940facd00d4e53073662ff78afdf623b2dc3e8901fda68dc990
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 1,114$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.84 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 35c | 642.44$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.59 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 60c | 642.19$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.97 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Over | 36c | 541.62$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.13 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 55c | 540$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.07 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…1550backed Over | 39c | 510.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.02 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 58c | 427.88$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.76 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 77c | 389.13$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Under | 65c | 346.81$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.43 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9e…2e40backed Under | 64c | 345.31$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…4ce4backed Under | 23c | 334.78$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 64c | 324.55$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.71 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Over | 33c | 268.42$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.08 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 47c | 211$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.66 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 40c | 174.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 66c | 154$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Under | 68c | 147.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Under | 34c | 132.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 52c | 120.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 36c | 111$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.04 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 53c | 110.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Under | 47c | 100.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Under | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 36c | 99.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 63c | 90.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 63c | 89.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 52c | 85.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.71 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…fb20backed Under | 65c | 81.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e3…0d66backed Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 63c | 76.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 62c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7006…8336backed Under | 72c | 51.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Over | 36c | 49.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Over | 36c | 49.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Under | 61c | 43.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 377 | 57.8%218 W · 159 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…b6a7backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage9z won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 1 Winner9z won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.