TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
9zof Team Falcons, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,850 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked 9z27c23,643$6,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,208.783,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed 9z42c22,000$9,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,759.9841649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked 9z42c16,907$7,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,786.8816245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons58c15,000$8,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,70076058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked Team Falcons71c13,536$9,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,560.367054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked 9z43c11,615$4,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,620.675652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Team Falcons59c9,999$5,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,871.9533343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x733b…7260backed Team Falcons79c8,090$6,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4012259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked 9z26c7,118$1,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,288.733,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked 9z43c6,500$2,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,704.9884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Team Falcons58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Team Falcons57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Team Falcons72c4,901$3,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,528.5829858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Team Falcons66c4,881$3,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,242.1338358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons57c4,339$2,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,473.2321655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde8f…2c72backed Team Falcons65c3,721$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.128056.4%158 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Team Falcons57c3,410$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.6446243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Team Falcons71c3,382$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40239157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Team Falcons66c3,341$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,198.7927552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed 9z20c2,828$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.0888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 9z41c2,501$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.4578639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Team Falcons63c2,500$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58038954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Team Falcons58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.8915255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf6a…925fbacked 9z44c2,187$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.545742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Team Falcons56c2,179$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.3318254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Falcons57c2,000$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.9813646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0636…c529backed 9z42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.976126.2%16 W · 45 L-9.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed Team Falcons57c1,833$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0454427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Team Falcons57c1,555$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.5513738.7%53 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed 9z44c1,526$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.3520249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed 9z42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.961,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed 9z35c1,469$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.5725747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Team Falcons57c1,368$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78065650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 9z30c1,324$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.832,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed 9z43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68426743.1%115 W · 152 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Team Falcons57c1,151$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6566747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed 9z30c1,021$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.0855738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d42…cde0backed 9z30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7007152.1%37 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed Team Falcons58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58018547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Team Falcons77c990$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.6212557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Team Falcons56c887.98$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.271,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed 9z44c800$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44833452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed 9z44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3929642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed 9z43c658.06$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.0918261.5%112 W · 70 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d7f…2ae7backed Team Falcons57c644.83$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.5510151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked 9z35c642.85$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.857644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Team Falcons62c618.26$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.0538157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked 9z26c615.17$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.2319642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed 9z35c600$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3901,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed Team Falcons57c581.19$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.2825446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Team Falcons57c535.09$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3056956.5%39 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e76…05aabacked Team Falcons75c533.95$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002572%18 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons57c526.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons56c506.58$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.681,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29076748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Team Falcons56c486.22$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.665,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Falcons57c434.47$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24721263.7%135 W · 77 L-0.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed 9z44c421.47$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.0261154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons59c410$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.942845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked 9z30c400$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed Team Falcons65c366.67$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.339046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Team Falcons60c359$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.1321042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Team Falcons58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed Team Falcons17c343$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.314122%9 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked Team Falcons58c340.03$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2241069.3%284 W · 126 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed 9z45c327.93$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3644552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed 9z32c316.61$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6350947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Team Falcons57c306.18$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5218061.7%111 W · 69 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Team Falcons58c257.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons58c254.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8948845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked 9z43c232.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.527051.4%36 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1b…18bcbacked 9z44c227.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+35.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xef86…7e1fbacked 9z45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Team Falcons56c220.91$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.042,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed Team Falcons69c217.39$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016254.3%88 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked Team Falcons57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11438051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed 9z44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11232844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed Team Falcons58c193.1$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11229757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00de…18a7backed Team Falcons58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006960.9%42 W · 27 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Team Falcons58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021362.4%133 W · 80 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ff…5f94backed Team Falcons65c170.2$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015259.9%91 W · 61 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed 9z44c169.99$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1933354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed 9z35c160$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10420353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Team Falcons70c159.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8464058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked 9z30c154$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.837149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Team Falcons59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.55850%29 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked 9z30c146.91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8417055.3%94 W · 76 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fc3…ee0bbacked Team Falcons58c142.28$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5213958.3%81 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed 9z44c142.24$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1526245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed 9z43c127.63$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7599148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed Team Falcons55c123.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0815756.1%88 W · 69 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee8…432ebacked Team Falcons57c122.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+42.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0db0…6424backed Team Falcons64c116.61$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.636744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Team Falcons60c107.84$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4525941.3%107 W · 152 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed 9z44c105.09$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.859240.2%37 W · 55 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed 9z43c102.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3322757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed Team Falcons57c102.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.28740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed 9z27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7359343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Team Falcons56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5631253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed 9z27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7311354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.