TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5d7f…2ae7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Mls, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT10151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.95
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.82
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.09
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$13.27
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.89
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$15.28
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+300%+$556.88
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.49
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-Inbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.7
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Phantom (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group Dbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$102.07
Counter-Strike: Just Players vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+89.7%+$124.85
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Tricked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$31.79
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.48
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$730.75
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$101.92
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,161.99
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffsbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.68
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.88
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Fluxo - Map 2 Winnerbacked Game Hunters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$252.1
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.08
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)backed Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$546Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.25
Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$321.15
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$613.8
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.64
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$52.7
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.34
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.32
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.13
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Playoffsbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.59
Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs TLN Pirates (+2.5)backed TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$41.04
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$358.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$529Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$367.36
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.77
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ozarox Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.88
Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.4
Game Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.99
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.2
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$705Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$704.55
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.46
LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.04
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs mCon esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked mCon esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs VfB eSports (+1.5)backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.87
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kosice: Kilian Feldbausch vs Gilles Arnaud Baillybacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$92.88
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.86
Cordoba: Franco Roncadelli vs Pedro Sakamotobacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$22.31
Paris: Madison Keys vs Fiona Ferrobacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$16.99
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,299.62
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Pliskova (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$509.39
Oeiras 4: Liam Draxl vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$13.26
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Ruiz (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$197.64
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Denis Shapovalov vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$329.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zizou Bergs vs Terence Atmanebacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.97
Wuxi: Fajing Sun vs Rio Noguchibacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.48
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$109.82
Santos: Ignacio Monzon vs Conner Huertas Del Pinobacked Ignacio Monzon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.07
All 14 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$709Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$492.41
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$40.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+74.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$390
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$51.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.43
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,179.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-06-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$749.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. Valenciabacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.