Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e81d4900b4b335d27fe2c9ea10d67066bc2a06366b1ce28cf8f57cf6b838a86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof JD Gaming, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 50,000$28,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,249.99 | 969 | 48.6%471 W · 498 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked JD Gaming | 43c | 23,256$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked JD Gaming | 44c | 15,790$6,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,947.48 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 55c | 15,000$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked JD Gaming | 42c | 11,596$4,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,870.24 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked JD Gaming | 42c | 7,143$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked JD Gaming | 47c | 6,440$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 386 | 62.2%240 W · 146 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 5,600$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 55c | 4,916$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.63 | 598 | 54.2%324 W · 274 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 4,800$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,111.98 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked JD Gaming | 42c | 4,292$1,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.64 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…28fdbacked JD Gaming | 42c | 4,038$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 500 | 40.8%204 W · 296 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed JD Gaming | 46c | 2,809$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292 | 150 | 61.3%92 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked JD Gaming | 42c | 2,652$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.04 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 2,259$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.93 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed JD Gaming | 44c | 2,030$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.28 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 2,020$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.24 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 1,876$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.37 | 329 | 55.6%183 W · 146 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed JD Gaming | 63c | 1,589$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 37c | 1,558$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.61 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 1,520$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.91 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed JD Gaming | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 462 | 57.8%267 W · 195 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked JD Gaming | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 323 | 45.5%147 W · 176 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked JD Gaming | 42c | 1,443$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.82 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed JD Gaming | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.99 | 1,153 | 55.9%645 W · 508 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed JD Gaming | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 1,169$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.76 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…f982backed JD Gaming | 42c | 1,160$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…8011backed JD Gaming | 42c | 1,140$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked JD Gaming | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 219 | 53.9%118 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…f908backed JD Gaming | 44c | 1,010$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.16 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed JD Gaming | 42c | 1,003$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.06 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed JD Gaming | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked JD Gaming | 45c | 1,000$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.15 | 596 | 58.2%347 W · 249 L | -29.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…a291backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 999.95$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.98 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 850$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed JD Gaming | 41c | 808$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.6 | 1,265 | 42.8%541 W · 724 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2e…5b64backed JD Gaming | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 776$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.92 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed JD Gaming | 42c | 757.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.36 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 727.27$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 499 | 47.1%235 W · 264 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02dd…ea06backed JD Gaming | 42c | 693.95$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed JD Gaming | 44c | 687.53$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 655.74$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.41 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…2ac2backed JD Gaming | 42c | 650$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a73…9541backed JD Gaming | 42c | 650$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7959…bce4backed JD Gaming | 42c | 620$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e71…cb78backed JD Gaming | 42c | 610$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ab…13a1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9d…8448backed JD Gaming | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e947backed JD Gaming | 42c | 542.51$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.85 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…cec4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 505.17$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.17 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed JD Gaming | 45c | 462.5$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.13 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 55c | 462.5$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.12 | 962 | 54.3%522 W · 440 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f5…c45dbacked JD Gaming | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…9ad8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed JD Gaming | 46c | 395.09$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.44 | 1,016 | 47%478 W · 538 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 380.05$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.22 | 156 | 45.5%71 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked JD Gaming | 43c | 352.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.78 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…7078backed JD Gaming | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce51…1ddbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 342.85$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.85 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed JD Gaming | 42c | 333$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 523 | 44.9%235 W · 288 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 330$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -66%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked JD Gaming | 42c | 329.85$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.03 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…ff77backed JD Gaming | 42c | 310$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 489 | 44.4%217 W · 272 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked JD Gaming | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…1394backed JD Gaming | 42c | 295$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 279.24$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.87 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 253.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 304 | 40.1%122 W · 182 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…a6a3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 240.52$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…ba3ebacked JD Gaming | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 333 | 69.7%232 W · 101 L | +28.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed JD Gaming | 58c | 211$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 647 | 53.9%349 W · 298 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e3…c540backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 59c | 197$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 190$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 433 | 48.7%211 W · 222 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed JD Gaming | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…b591backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 180.05$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed JD Gaming | 44c | 141.47$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 53c | 140.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 1,310 | 55.8%731 W · 579 L | +43.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed JD Gaming | 43c | 135.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked JD Gaming | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 113$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked JD Gaming | 44c | 111.61$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 822 | 60.9%501 W · 321 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed JD Gaming | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 56c | 105.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked JD Gaming | 42c | 101.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed JD Gaming | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 1,608 | 17.5%282 W · 1,326 L | -245.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: JDG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)this page
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 4 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.