TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9a5…b591

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 62 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.3
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$162.09
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.59
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$51.95
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Metsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$120.07
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.17
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.44
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$57.73
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$15.05
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.94
Seattle Mariners vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.99
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.39
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$35.3
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$44.56
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1687.5%14 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+53.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+203%+$28.36
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18.7
Will CA Lanús vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$16.22
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$20.97
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.39
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$9.12
Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)backed CD Cuenca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.56
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$34.51
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)backed CR Flamengo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+119%+$60.47
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$276.12
Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.14
Millonarios FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$16.72
Spread: LDU de Quito (-2.5)backed Club Always Ready · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.69
São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$18.16
Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)backed CA Boston River · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.06
São Paulo FC vs. CA Boston River: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$17.21
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.28
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
Roland Garros WTA: Laura Siegemund vs Naomi Osakabacked Laura Siegemund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.48
Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.7
Kosice: Tomasz Berkieta vs Sandro Koppbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$46.14
Kosice: Pedro Sakamoto vs Stefan Dostanicbacked Stefan Dostanic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.48
Chisinau: Filip Jianu vs Franco Agamenonebacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$29.31
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.7
Dota 2: GLYPH vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.89
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.19
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$42.45
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.23
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$21.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.27
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$352.56
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.52
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$89.09
All 5 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-68.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-64.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.75
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.56
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.61
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.81
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$56.41
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$155.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.58
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$38.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.