TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$521,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$609,012

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,117 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed PARIVISION70c64,323$45,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,148.5716147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG34c38,450$13,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,224.482,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION67c37,170$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,169.851,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed OG37c18,395$6,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,735.9756955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed OG32c14,686$4,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,731.2527153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed OG37c13,043$4,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,863.4636248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a7…42e6backed PARIVISION73c12,830$9,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,476.1141056.8%233 W · 177 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed PARIVISION65c12,500$8,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,374.9911953.8%64 W · 55 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG32c11,999$3,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,794.31,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked OG31c11,999$3,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,677.61,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3837…c6b0backed PARIVISION74c11,254$8,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.12560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed OG31c10,335$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.9414825%37 W · 111 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed OG32c10,002$3,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222.773033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION63c9,500$5,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,528.1880256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed OG31c9,252$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.91,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION63c8,633$5,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,181.7796557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked OG35c8,236$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,871.4796645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed PARIVISION68c7,406$5,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.0642650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd1b…e3b3backed PARIVISION75c6,667$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.679754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed OG30c6,580$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.8941351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked OG26c6,476$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.8889741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed OG29c5,143$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50034051.5%175 W · 165 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc04e…75d9backed PARIVISION76c5,029$3,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.886139.3%24 W · 37 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked OG36c5,027$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.9316954.4%92 W · 77 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed PARIVISION62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,90029042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed OG38c4,207$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,585.7953764.4%346 W · 191 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed OG29c4,152$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.5845750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked OG27c4,115$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,11125549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked OG27c4,012$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.2489749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed OG27c4,008$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.8968649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked OG25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.971040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION55c3,923$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.171,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed OG29c3,824$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.5949455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x468c…d7cabacked OG37c3,756$1,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.613764.9%24 W · 13 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1fd…4d0cbacked OG45c3,715$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.2920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked OG25c3,495$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.8132951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked OG31c3,370$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.6935951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked PARIVISION68c3,300$2,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05695342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked OG30c3,242$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.682,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG31c3,235$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.242,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked PARIVISION74c3,177$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.6777458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x03f8…d85abacked PARIVISION60c3,145$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.084951%25 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed PARIVISION71c3,130$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.4335062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed PARIVISION65c3,090$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.1610743%46 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked PARIVISION64c3,000$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.2941944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed OG24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72015144.4%67 W · 84 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed OG25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.9881029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked OG33c2,983$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.4977256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked OG31c2,776$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.961,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed OG36c2,740$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012557.6%72 W · 53 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked PARIVISION74c2,700$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70341055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed PARIVISION62c2,520$1,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.9411753%62 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked OG33c2,461$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.041,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked PARIVISION75c2,111$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.4329160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked PARIVISION64c2,092$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.0461456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb333…c7eebacked PARIVISION73c2,062$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.272560%15 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked PARIVISION66c2,022$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.331346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed OG24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4804843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked PARIVISION73c1,887$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.1765863.1%415 W · 243 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed OG32c1,869$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.5620939.2%82 W · 127 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed OG25c1,775$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.6569644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked OG33c1,766$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.7937945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed OG35c1,600$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed OG26c1,512$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.2358744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9e…7928backed PARIVISION62c1,500$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5752937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc646…e394backed OG34c1,500$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.6437655.1%207 W · 169 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed OG26c1,490$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.41955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+56.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37b5…0ddabacked PARIVISION71c1,450$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4271861.1%11 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d03…100ebacked PARIVISION70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.574768.1%32 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked PARIVISION74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3516945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed OG24c1,320$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION69c1,311$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.4140051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed PARIVISION75c1,300$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32816256.8%92 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b5…e607backed OG37c1,252$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.372737%10 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION69c1,252$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.0660349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION62c1,106$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.199844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION66c1,002$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.7535758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a01…7650backed OG1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed OG26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26065441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa672…6b31backed PARIVISION65c999.99$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3452259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86ed…c1e5backed OG25c999.72$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.931225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc62d…74fcbacked PARIVISION67c973.99$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.425251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked OG25c960$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24024345.3%110 W · 133 L+15.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe077…f5eebacked PARIVISION64c945.81$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.4313442.5%57 W · 77 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bcc…b4fabacked PARIVISION71c931.94$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9416959.2%100 W · 69 L+14.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed PARIVISION63c900$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33332441.7%135 W · 189 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b5…205abacked OG39c893.6$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.9631953.9%172 W · 147 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked OG25c893.19$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.317146.2%79 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e12…e867backed OG28c873.97$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.716633.3%22 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked OG38c862.37$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.2139550.1%198 W · 197 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked PARIVISION60c859.49$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.1566545.6%303 W · 362 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed PARIVISION53c849.89$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.5310138.6%39 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked PARIVISION76c813.87$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.3355251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed PARIVISION75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007862.8%49 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked PARIVISION75c773.49$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.3715949.7%79 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed PARIVISION66c762$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.0834561.2%211 W · 134 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed PARIVISION74c754.99$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.48456%47 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed OG27c740$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.810741.1%44 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed OG6c699.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION66c699.99$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23880443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.